HIGHLIGHTS | Proteas vs Australia | 3rd Test | Day 5
Cricket South Africa · Uploaded 2026-11-01
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Australia tour of South Africa · 2026/27 · Men
27 Oct 2026 · Test
Newlands, Cape Town · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Travis Headcaught · Marco Jansen · Kagiso Rabada3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marco Jansen · b Kagiso Rabada | 14 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 53.85 |
 Matt Renshawcaught · Ryan Rickelton · Kagiso Rabada0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ryan Rickelton · b Kagiso Rabada | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Marnus Labuschagnelbw · Kagiso Rabada1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kagiso Rabada | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
Cricket South Africa · Uploaded 2026-11-01
Cricket South Africa · Uploaded 2026-10-31
Cricket South Africa · Uploaded 2026-10-30
Cricket South Africa · Uploaded 2026-10-29
Cricket South Africa · Uploaded 2026-10-28
Sky Sports Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-31
Sky Sports Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-31
Sky Sports Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-30
Sky Sports Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-28
Sky Sports Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-27
Willow by Cricbuzz · Uploaded 2026-10-31
Willow by Cricbuzz · Uploaded 2026-10-31
| bowled · b Simon Harmer |
| 27 |
| 110 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 24.55 |
 Josh Inglisrun out · Marques Ackerman, Ryan Rickelton · Simon Harmer0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Marques Ackerman, Ryan Rickelton | 4 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 23.53 |
|---|
 Alex Careycaught · Marco Jansen · Simon Harmer0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marco Jansen · b Simon Harmer | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 22.22 |
|---|
| Cooper Connollycaught · Ryan Rickelton · Simon Harmer 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ryan Rickelton · b Simon Harmer | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Mitchell Starccaught · C Bosch · Simon Harmer0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · C Bosch · b Simon Harmer | 0 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Pat Cumminslbw · Simon Harmer1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Simon Harmer | 11 | 90 | 1 | 0 | 12.22 |
|---|
 Nathan Lyonnot out6 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 33* | 57 | 6 | 0 | 57.89 |
|---|
 Josh Hazlewoodbowled · Simon Harmer0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Simon Harmer | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 12 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 0 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kagiso Rabada4 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 14.0 | 4 | 39 | 3 | 2.79 | 0 | 1 |
 Marco Jansen3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 2.13 | 0 | 0 |
 Wiaan Mulder1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Simon Harmer14 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 21.1 | 14 | 16 | 6 | 0.76 | 0 | 0 |
| Gerald Coetzee3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1.17 | 0 | 0 |
 Aiden Markram2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 2.17 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Matt Renshaw, 0.3) · 2-5 (Marnus Labuschagne, 1.0) · 3-22 (Travis Head, 7.0) · 4-40 (Josh Inglis, 15.3) · 5-42 (Alex Carey, 17.2) · 6-42 (Cooper Connolly, 17.4) · 7-60 (Mitchell Starc, 26.0) · 8-62 (Cameron Green, 38.1) · 9-107 (Pat Cummins, 55.3) · 10-111 (Josh Hazlewood, 57.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/2 |
| 2 | 8 | 13/2 |
| 3 | 1 | 14/2 |
| 4 | 0 | 14/2 |
| 5 | 1 | 15/2 |
| 6 | 2 | 17/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 22/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 26/3 |
| 9 | 2 | 28/3 |
| 10 | 0 | 28/3 |
| 11 | 2 | 30/3 |
| 12 | 1 | 31/3 |
| 13 | 1 | 32/3 |
| 14 | 2 | 34/3 |
| 15 | 5 | 39/3 |
| 16 | 2 | 41/4 |
| 17 | 1 | 42/4 |
| 18 | 0 | 42/6 |
| 19 | 4 | 46/6 |
| 20 | 0 | 46/6 |
| 21 | 0 | 46/6 |
| 22 | 4 | 50/6 |
| 23 | 6 | 56/6 |
| 24 | 0 | 56/6 |
| 25 | 3 | 59/6 |
| 26 | 1 | 60/7 |
| 27 | 2 | 62/7 |
| 28 | 0 | 62/7 |
| 29 | 0 | 62/7 |
| 30 | 0 | 62/7 |
| 31 | 0 | 62/7 |
| 32 | 0 | 62/7 |
| 33 | 0 | 62/7 |
| 34 | 0 | 62/7 |
| 35 | 0 | 62/7 |
| 36 | 0 | 62/7 |
| 37 | 0 | 62/7 |
| 38 | 0 | 62/7 |
| 39 | 0 | 62/8 |
| 40 | 1 | 63/8 |
| 41 | 0 | 63/8 |
| 42 | 4 | 67/8 |
| 43 | 2 | 69/8 |
| 44 | 5 | 74/8 |
| 45 | 2 | 76/8 |
| 46 | 4 | 80/8 |
| 47 | 0 | 80/8 |
| 48 | 8 | 88/8 |
| 49 | 4 | 92/8 |
| 50 | 6 | 98/8 |
| 51 | 0 | 98/8 |
| 52 | 5 | 103/8 |
| 53 | 0 | 103/8 |
| 54 | 2 | 105/8 |
| 55 | 2 | 107/8 |
| 56 | 0 | 107/9 |
| 57 | 4 | 111/9 |
| 58 | 0 | 111/10 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Temba Bavuma: Michael Sherman · CC BY 3.0
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Marco Jansen: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nathan Lyon: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marques Ackerman: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Josh Inglis: Prime Video AU & NZ · CC BY 3.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Cameron Green: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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