HIGHLIGHTS | Proteas vs Australia | 3rd Test | Day 5
Cricket South Africa · Uploaded 2026-11-01
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Australia tour of South Africa · 2026/27 · Men
27 Oct 2026 · Test
Newlands, Cape Town · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aiden Markramcaught · Travis Head · Mitchell Starc0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Travis Head · b Mitchell Starc | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
 Marques Ackermancaught · Cameron Green · Mitchell Starc8 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Cameron Green · b Mitchell Starc | 62 | 80 | 8 | 0 | 77.50 |
| David Bedinghamcaught · Nathan Lyon · Josh Hazlewood 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nathan Lyon · b Josh Hazlewood | 11 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 68.75 |
 |
Cricket South Africa · Uploaded 2026-11-01
Cricket South Africa · Uploaded 2026-10-31
Cricket South Africa · Uploaded 2026-10-30
Cricket South Africa · Uploaded 2026-10-29
Cricket South Africa · Uploaded 2026-10-28
Sky Sports Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-31
Sky Sports Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-31
Sky Sports Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-30
Sky Sports Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-28
Sky Sports Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-27
Willow by Cricbuzz · Uploaded 2026-10-31
Willow by Cricbuzz · Uploaded 2026-10-31
| bowled · b Nathan Lyon |
| 35 |
| 115 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 30.43 |
| Matthew Breetzkecaught · Mitchell Starc · Pat Cummins 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mitchell Starc · b Pat Cummins | 43 | 121 | 5 | 0 | 35.54 |
|---|
 Ryan Rickeltonrun out · Marnus Labuschagne, Josh Inglis · Marnus Labuschagne12 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Marnus Labuschagne, Josh Inglis | 101 | 219 | 12 | 0 | 46.12 |
|---|
 Wiaan Muldercaught · Mitchell Starc · Pat Cummins10 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Mitchell Starc · b Pat Cummins | 115 | 221 | 10 | 4 | 52.04 |
|---|
 Marco Jansencaught · Nathan Lyon · Mitchell Starc0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nathan Lyon · b Mitchell Starc | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Simon Harmerbowled · Nathan Lyon0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nathan Lyon | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Gerald Coetzeerun out · Marnus Labuschagne · Nathan Lyon 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Marnus Labuschagne | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
 Kagiso Rabadanot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 6 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 1 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitchell Starc2 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 24.0 | 2 | 65 | 3 | 2.71 | 0 | 1 |
 Josh Hazlewood2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 21.0 | 2 | 68 | 1 | 3.24 | 0 | 0 |
 Pat Cummins5 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 24.4 | 5 | 71 | 2 | 2.88 | 1 | 0 |
 Nathan Lyon10 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 44.0 | 10 | 101 | 2 | 2.30 | 0 | 0 |
| Cooper Connolly1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt Renshaw2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 2.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Travis Head0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Marnus Labuschagne0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-12 (Aiden Markram, 2.5) · 2-31 (David Bedingham, 7.3) · 3-95 (Marques Ackerman, 28.2) · 4-131 (Temba Bavuma, 45.5) · 5-181 (Matthew Breetzke, 66.5) · 6-335 (Ryan Rickelton, 119.5) · 7-343 (Marco Jansen, 122.4) · 8-344 (Simon Harmer, 123.1) · 9-351 (Gerald Coetzee, 125.5) · 10-387 (Wiaan Mulder, 134.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 13/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 16/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 22/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 26/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 31/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 36/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 38/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 43/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 51/2 |
| 12 | 1 | 52/2 |
| 13 | 1 | 53/2 |
| 14 | 0 | 53/2 |
| 15 | 2 | 55/2 |
| 16 | 1 | 56/2 |
| 17 | 2 | 58/2 |
| 18 | 1 | 59/2 |
| 19 | 3 | 62/2 |
| 20 | 3 | 65/2 |
| 21 | 7 | 72/2 |
| 22 | 8 | 80/2 |
| 23 | 1 | 81/2 |
| 24 | 3 | 84/2 |
| 25 | 0 | 84/2 |
| 26 | 6 | 90/2 |
| 27 | 0 | 90/2 |
| 28 | 5 | 95/2 |
| 29 | 0 | 95/3 |
| 30 | 3 | 98/3 |
| 31 | 1 | 99/3 |
| 32 | 2 | 101/3 |
| 33 | 5 | 106/3 |
| 34 | 0 | 106/3 |
| 35 | 5 | 111/3 |
| 36 | 1 | 112/3 |
| 37 | 1 | 113/3 |
| 38 | 4 | 117/3 |
| 39 | 1 | 118/3 |
| 40 | 1 | 119/3 |
| 41 | 2 | 121/3 |
| 42 | 2 | 123/3 |
| 43 | 4 | 127/3 |
| 44 | 0 | 127/3 |
| 45 | 2 | 129/3 |
| 46 | 6 | 135/4 |
| 47 | 5 | 140/4 |
| 48 | 1 | 141/4 |
| 49 | 2 | 143/4 |
| 50 | 3 | 146/4 |
| 51 | 1 | 147/4 |
| 52 | 4 | 151/4 |
| 53 | 0 | 151/4 |
| 54 | 3 | 154/4 |
| 55 | 3 | 157/4 |
| 56 | 1 | 158/4 |
| 57 | 0 | 158/4 |
| 58 | 1 | 159/4 |
| 59 | 2 | 161/4 |
| 60 | 0 | 161/4 |
| 61 | 9 | 170/4 |
| 62 | 1 | 171/4 |
| 63 | 0 | 171/4 |
| 64 | 0 | 171/4 |
| 65 | 5 | 176/4 |
| 66 | 5 | 181/4 |
| 67 | 1 | 182/5 |
| 68 | 7 | 189/5 |
| 69 | 5 | 194/5 |
| 70 | 0 | 194/5 |
| 71 | 5 | 199/5 |
| 72 | 1 | 200/5 |
| 73 | 1 | 201/5 |
| 74 | 0 | 201/5 |
| 75 | 1 | 202/5 |
| 76 | 1 | 203/5 |
| 77 | 1 | 204/5 |
| 78 | 5 | 209/5 |
| 79 | 7 | 216/5 |
| 80 | 6 | 222/5 |
| 81 | 8 | 230/5 |
| 82 | 2 | 232/5 |
| 83 | 4 | 236/5 |
| 84 | 5 | 241/5 |
| 85 | 3 | 244/5 |
| 86 | 2 | 246/5 |
| 87 | 6 | 252/5 |
| 88 | 0 | 252/5 |
| 89 | 5 | 257/5 |
| 90 | 0 | 257/5 |
| 91 | 4 | 261/5 |
| 92 | 6 | 267/5 |
| 93 | 0 | 267/5 |
| 94 | 0 | 267/5 |
| 95 | 2 | 269/5 |
| 96 | 3 | 272/5 |
| 97 | 6 | 278/5 |
| 98 | 2 | 280/5 |
| 99 | 4 | 284/5 |
| 100 | 4 | 288/5 |
| 101 | 3 | 291/5 |
| 102 | 2 | 293/5 |
| 103 | 1 | 294/5 |
| 104 | 1 | 295/5 |
| 105 | 1 | 296/5 |
| 106 | 1 | 297/5 |
| 107 | 5 | 302/5 |
| 108 | 1 | 303/5 |
| 109 | 2 | 305/5 |
| 110 | 0 | 305/5 |
| 111 | 0 | 305/5 |
| 112 | 2 | 307/5 |
| 113 | 0 | 307/5 |
| 114 | 5 | 312/5 |
| 115 | 3 | 315/5 |
| 116 | 2 | 317/5 |
| 117 | 1 | 318/5 |
| 118 | 9 | 327/5 |
| 119 | 4 | 331/5 |
| 120 | 5 | 336/6 |
| 121 | 4 | 340/6 |
| 122 | 2 | 342/6 |
| 123 | 2 | 344/7 |
| 124 | 2 | 346/8 |
| 125 | 1 | 347/8 |
| 126 | 5 | 352/9 |
| 127 | 3 | 355/9 |
| 128 | 7 | 362/9 |
| 129 | 5 | 367/9 |
| 130 | 1 | 368/9 |
| 131 | 1 | 369/9 |
| 132 | 3 | 372/9 |
| 133 | 8 | 380/9 |
| 134 | 7 | 387/9 |
| 135 | 0 | 387/10 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Temba Bavuma: Michael Sherman · CC BY 3.0
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Marco Jansen: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nathan Lyon: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marques Ackerman: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Josh Inglis: Prime Video AU & NZ · CC BY 3.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Cameron Green: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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