HIGHLIGHTS | Proteas vs Australia | 3rd Test | Day 5
Cricket South Africa · Uploaded 2026-11-01
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Australia tour of South Africa · 2026/27 · Men
27 Oct 2026 · Test
Newlands, Cape Town · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Renshawcaught · Ryan Rickelton · Marco Jansen10 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ryan Rickelton · b Marco Jansen | 74 | 139 | 10 | 0 | 53.24 |
 Travis Headbowled · Simon Harmer7 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Simon Harmer | 41 | 49 | 7 | 0 | 83.67 |
 Marnus Labuschagnecaught · Aiden Markram · Simon Harmer0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aiden Markram · b Simon Harmer | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
Cricket South Africa · Uploaded 2026-11-01
Cricket South Africa · Uploaded 2026-10-31
Cricket South Africa · Uploaded 2026-10-30
Cricket South Africa · Uploaded 2026-10-29
Cricket South Africa · Uploaded 2026-10-28
Sky Sports Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-31
Sky Sports Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-31
Sky Sports Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-30
Sky Sports Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-28
Sky Sports Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-27
Willow by Cricbuzz · Uploaded 2026-10-31
Willow by Cricbuzz · Uploaded 2026-10-31
| caught · Simon Harmer · b Marco Jansen |
| 65 |
| 110 |
| 8 |
| 2 |
| 59.09 |
 Josh Ingliscaught · Ryan Rickelton · Simon Harmer11 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Ryan Rickelton · b Simon Harmer | 102 | 135 | 11 | 2 | 75.56 |
|---|
 Alex Careycaught · Aiden Markram · Simon Harmer7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aiden Markram · b Simon Harmer | 80 | 168 | 7 | 0 | 47.62 |
|---|
| Cooper Connollycaught and bowled · Marco Jansen 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Marco Jansen | 29 | 83 | 3 | 0 | 34.94 |
|---|
 Pat Cumminslbw · Kagiso Rabada0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kagiso Rabada | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Mitchell Starccaught · Ryan Rickelton · Gerald Coetzee2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ryan Rickelton · b Gerald Coetzee | 11 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 37.93 |
|---|
 Nathan Lyoncaught · Simon Harmer · Wiaan Mulder0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Simon Harmer · b Wiaan Mulder | 1 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 4.00 |
|---|
 Josh Hazlewoodnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 16 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 1 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kagiso Rabada1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 23.0 | 1 | 98 | 1 | 4.26 | 0 | 0 |
 Marco Jansen7 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 22.1 | 7 | 60 | 3 | 2.71 | 0 | 1 |
| Gerald Coetzee4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 19.0 | 4 | 70 | 1 | 3.68 | 0 | 0 |
 Wiaan Mulder5 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 21.0 | 5 | 63 | 1 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Simon Harmer6 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 37.0 | 6 | 104 | 4 | 2.81 | 0 | 0 |
 Aiden Markram0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-58 (Travis Head, 17.1) · 2-58 (Marnus Labuschagne, 18.0) · 3-184 (Matt Renshaw, 49.5) · 4-185 (Cameron Green, 51.2) · 5-370 (Josh Inglis, 99.0) · 6-379 (Alex Carey, 102.4) · 7-380 (Pat Cummins, 104.0) · 8-402 (Mitchell Starc, 111.3) · 9-425 (Nathan Lyon, 124.3) · 10-429 (Cooper Connolly, 125.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 7/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 15/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 20/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 25/0 |
| 7 | 1 | 26/0 |
| 8 | 5 | 31/0 |
| 9 | 1 | 32/0 |
| 10 | 5 | 37/0 |
| 11 | 4 | 41/0 |
| 12 | 0 | 41/0 |
| 13 | 1 | 42/0 |
| 14 | 9 | 51/0 |
| 15 | 5 | 56/0 |
| 16 | 1 | 57/0 |
| 17 | 1 | 58/0 |
| 18 | 0 | 58/2 |
| 19 | 0 | 58/2 |
| 20 | 0 | 58/2 |
| 21 | 3 | 61/2 |
| 22 | 2 | 63/2 |
| 23 | 10 | 73/2 |
| 24 | 3 | 76/2 |
| 25 | 2 | 78/2 |
| 26 | 7 | 85/2 |
| 27 | 5 | 90/2 |
| 28 | 0 | 90/2 |
| 29 | 9 | 99/2 |
| 30 | 0 | 99/2 |
| 31 | 8 | 107/2 |
| 32 | 4 | 111/2 |
| 33 | 2 | 113/2 |
| 34 | 7 | 120/2 |
| 35 | 16 | 136/2 |
| 36 | 8 | 144/2 |
| 37 | 5 | 149/2 |
| 38 | 3 | 152/2 |
| 39 | 5 | 157/2 |
| 40 | 6 | 163/2 |
| 41 | 0 | 163/2 |
| 42 | 0 | 163/2 |
| 43 | 8 | 171/2 |
| 44 | 0 | 171/2 |
| 45 | 3 | 174/2 |
| 46 | 1 | 175/2 |
| 47 | 6 | 181/2 |
| 48 | 2 | 183/2 |
| 49 | 1 | 184/2 |
| 50 | 0 | 184/3 |
| 51 | 1 | 185/3 |
| 52 | 0 | 185/4 |
| 53 | 6 | 191/4 |
| 54 | 0 | 191/4 |
| 55 | 2 | 193/4 |
| 56 | 1 | 194/4 |
| 57 | 2 | 196/4 |
| 58 | 4 | 200/4 |
| 59 | 1 | 201/4 |
| 60 | 3 | 204/4 |
| 61 | 3 | 207/4 |
| 62 | 5 | 212/4 |
| 63 | 4 | 216/4 |
| 64 | 6 | 222/4 |
| 65 | 4 | 226/4 |
| 66 | 0 | 226/4 |
| 67 | 2 | 228/4 |
| 68 | 0 | 228/4 |
| 69 | 3 | 231/4 |
| 70 | 5 | 236/4 |
| 71 | 1 | 237/4 |
| 72 | 2 | 239/4 |
| 73 | 7 | 246/4 |
| 74 | 3 | 249/4 |
| 75 | 1 | 250/4 |
| 76 | 10 | 260/4 |
| 77 | 10 | 270/4 |
| 78 | 5 | 275/4 |
| 79 | 7 | 282/4 |
| 80 | 4 | 286/4 |
| 81 | 2 | 288/4 |
| 82 | 1 | 289/4 |
| 83 | 5 | 294/4 |
| 84 | 2 | 296/4 |
| 85 | 2 | 298/4 |
| 86 | 8 | 306/4 |
| 87 | 6 | 312/4 |
| 88 | 3 | 315/4 |
| 89 | 13 | 328/4 |
| 90 | 2 | 330/4 |
| 91 | 4 | 334/4 |
| 92 | 4 | 338/4 |
| 93 | 0 | 338/4 |
| 94 | 1 | 339/4 |
| 95 | 7 | 346/4 |
| 96 | 4 | 350/4 |
| 97 | 7 | 357/4 |
| 98 | 5 | 362/4 |
| 99 | 8 | 370/5 |
| 100 | 7 | 377/5 |
| 101 | 1 | 378/5 |
| 102 | 1 | 379/5 |
| 103 | 0 | 379/6 |
| 104 | 1 | 380/7 |
| 105 | 1 | 381/7 |
| 106 | 3 | 384/7 |
| 107 | 1 | 385/7 |
| 108 | 9 | 394/7 |
| 109 | 2 | 396/7 |
| 110 | 1 | 397/7 |
| 111 | 4 | 401/7 |
| 112 | 2 | 403/8 |
| 113 | 2 | 405/8 |
| 114 | 5 | 410/8 |
| 115 | 1 | 411/8 |
| 116 | 0 | 411/8 |
| 117 | 0 | 411/8 |
| 118 | 1 | 412/8 |
| 119 | 7 | 419/8 |
| 120 | 1 | 420/8 |
| 121 | 1 | 421/8 |
| 122 | 4 | 425/8 |
| 123 | 0 | 425/8 |
| 124 | 0 | 425/8 |
| 125 | 4 | 429/9 |
| 126 | 0 | 429/10 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Temba Bavuma: Michael Sherman · CC BY 3.0
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Marco Jansen: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nathan Lyon: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marques Ackerman: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Josh Inglis: Prime Video AU & NZ · CC BY 3.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Cameron Green: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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