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New Zealand tour of India · 2024/25 · Men
16 Oct 2024 · Test
M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yashasvi Jaiswalcaught · Ajaz Patel · William O’Rourke1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ajaz Patel · b William O’Rourke | 13 | 63 | 1 | 0 | 20.63 |
 Rohit Sharmabowled · Tim Southee0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tim Southee | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
 Virat Kohlicaught · Glenn Phillips · William O’Rourke0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Glenn Phillips · b William O’Rourke | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| caught · Devon Conway · b Matt Henry |
| 0 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
 Rishabh Pantcaught · Tom Latham · Matt Henry2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Latham · b Matt Henry | 20 | 49 | 2 | 0 | 40.82 |
|---|
 KL Rahulcaught · Tom Blundell · William O’Rourke0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Blundell · b William O’Rourke | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Ravindra Jadejacaught · Ajaz Patel · Matt Henry0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ajaz Patel · b Matt Henry | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Ravichandran Ashwincaught · Glenn Phillips · Matt Henry0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Glenn Phillips · b Matt Henry | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Kuldeep Yadavcaught · MG Bracewell · Matt Henry0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · MG Bracewell · b Matt Henry | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 11.76 |
|---|
 Jasprit Bumrahcaught · Matt Henry · William O’Rourke0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matt Henry · b William O’Rourke | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Mohammed Sirajnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 16 | 1 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tim Southee4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt Henry3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 13.2 | 3 | 15 | 5 | 1.13 | 0 | 0 |
 William O’Rourke6 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 12.0 | 6 | 22 | 4 | 1.83 | 2 | 1 |
1-9 (Rohit Sharma, 6.3) · 2-9 (Virat Kohli, 9.0) · 3-10 (Sarfaraz Khan, 9.4) · 4-31 (Yashasvi Jaiswal, 20.5) · 5-33 (KL Rahul, 22.4) · 6-34 (Ravindra Jadeja, 23.5) · 7-34 (Ravichandran Ashwin, 24.0) · 8-39 (Rishabh Pant, 25.3) · 9-40 (Jasprit Bumrah, 26.2) · 10-46 (Kuldeep Yadav, 31.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 6/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 7/0 |
| 5 | 0 | 7/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 9/0 |
| 7 | 0 | 9/1 |
| 8 | 0 | 9/1 |
| 9 | 0 | 9/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 12/3 |
| 11 | 0 | 12/3 |
| 12 | 1 | 13/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 17/3 |
| 14 | 0 | 17/3 |
| 15 | 6 | 23/3 |
| 16 | 4 | 27/3 |
| 17 | 0 | 27/3 |
| 18 | 0 | 27/3 |
| 19 | 2 | 29/3 |
| 20 | 1 | 30/3 |
| 21 | 1 | 31/4 |
| 22 | 2 | 33/4 |
| 23 | 0 | 33/5 |
| 24 | 1 | 34/7 |
| 25 | 5 | 39/7 |
| 26 | 1 | 40/8 |
| 27 | 0 | 40/9 |
| 28 | 2 | 42/9 |
| 29 | 4 | 46/9 |
| 30 | 0 | 46/9 |
| 31 | 0 | 46/9 |
| 32 | 0 | 46/10 |
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ajaz Patel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ravichandran Ashwin: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 3.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kuldeep Yadav: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Tim Southee: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Virat Kohli: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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