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New Zealand tour of India · 2024/25 · Men
16 Oct 2024 · Test
M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tom Lathamlbw · Jasprit Bumrah0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jasprit Bumrah | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Devon Conwaylbw · Jasprit Bumrah 3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jasprit Bumrah | 17 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 43.59 |
 Will Youngnot out7 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 48* | 76 | 7 | 1 | 63.16 |
 Rachin Ravindranot out6 fours · 0 sixes |
| not out |
| 39* |
| 46 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 84.78 |
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 0 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jasprit Bumrah1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 29 | 2 | 3.63 | 0 | 0 |
 Mohammed Siraj3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 2.29 | 0 | 0 |
 Ravindra Jadeja1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 7.4 | 1 | 28 | 0 | 3.65 | 0 | 1 |
 Kuldeep Yadav0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Ravichandran Ashwin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Tom Latham, 1.0) · 2-35 (Devon Conway, 12.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 4/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 8/1 |
| 6 | 0 | 8/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 9/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 13/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 21/1 |
| 10 | 0 | 21/1 |
| 11 | 1 | 22/1 |
| 12 | 9 | 31/1 |
| 13 | 12 | 43/2 |
| 14 | 9 | 52/2 |
| 15 | 1 | 53/2 |
| 16 | 9 | 62/2 |
| 17 | 1 | 63/2 |
| 18 | 1 | 64/2 |
| 19 | 9 | 73/2 |
| 20 | 1 | 74/2 |
| 21 | 11 | 85/2 |
| 22 | 4 | 89/2 |
| 23 | 6 | 95/2 |
| 24 | 2 | 97/2 |
| 25 | 1 | 98/2 |
| 26 | 1 | 99/2 |
| 27 | 5 | 104/2 |
| 28 | 6 | 110/2 |
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ajaz Patel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ravichandran Ashwin: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 3.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kuldeep Yadav: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Tim Southee: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Virat Kohli: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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