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New Zealand tour of India · 2024/25 · Men
16 Oct 2024 · Test
M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yashasvi Jaiswalstumped · Tom Blundell · Ajaz Patel6 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Tom Blundell · b Ajaz Patel | 35 | 52 | 6 | 0 | 67.31 |
 Rohit Sharmabowled · Ajaz Patel8 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Ajaz Patel | 52 | 63 | 8 | 1 | 82.54 |
 Virat Kohlicaught · Tom Blundell · Glenn Phillips8 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tom Blundell · b Glenn Phillips | 70 | 102 | 8 | 1 | 68.63 |
| caught · Ajaz Patel · b Tim Southee |
| 150 |
| 195 |
| 18 |
| 3 |
| 76.92 |
 Rishabh Pantbowled · William O’Rourke9 fours · 5 sixes | bowled · b William O’Rourke | 99 | 105 | 9 | 5 | 94.29 |
|---|
 KL Rahulcaught · Tom Blundell · William O’Rourke2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Blundell · b William O’Rourke | 12 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
 Ravindra Jadejacaught · Will Young · William O’Rourke1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Young · b William O’Rourke | 5 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Ravichandran Ashwinlbw · Matt Henry1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Matt Henry | 15 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 62.50 |
|---|
 Kuldeep Yadavnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 20 | 0 | 0 | 30.00 |
|---|
 Jasprit Bumrahcaught · Tom Blundell · Matt Henry0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Blundell · b Matt Henry | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Mohammed Sirajcaught · Tim Southee · Matt Henry0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tim Southee · b Matt Henry | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 7 · legbyes: 9 · wides: 1 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tim Southee2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.0 | 2 | 53 | 1 | 3.53 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt Henry3 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 24.3 | 3 | 102 | 3 | 4.16 | 0 | 1 |
 William O’Rourke4 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 21.0 | 4 | 92 | 3 | 4.38 | 1 | 0 |
 Ajaz Patel3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 18.0 | 3 | 100 | 2 | 5.56 | 0 | 0 |
| Glenn Phillips2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.0 | 2 | 69 | 1 | 4.60 | 0 | 0 |
 Rachin Ravindra0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-72 (Yashasvi Jaiswal, 17.1) · 2-95 (Rohit Sharma, 21.5) · 3-231 (Virat Kohli, 49.0) · 4-408 (Sarfaraz Khan, 84.1) · 5-433 (Rishabh Pant, 88.1) · 6-438 (KL Rahul, 90.2) · 7-441 (Ravindra Jadeja, 92.3) · 8-458 (Ravichandran Ashwin, 97.3) · 9-462 (Jasprit Bumrah, 99.1) · 10-462 (Mohammed Siraj, 99.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 4/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 12/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 17/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 22/0 |
| 7 | 2 | 24/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 28/0 |
| 9 | 1 | 29/0 |
| 10 | 4 | 33/0 |
| 11 | 8 | 41/0 |
| 12 | 6 | 47/0 |
| 13 | 4 | 51/0 |
| 14 | 4 | 55/0 |
| 15 | 2 | 57/0 |
| 16 | 7 | 64/0 |
| 17 | 8 | 72/0 |
| 18 | 0 | 72/1 |
| 19 | 2 | 74/1 |
| 20 | 0 | 74/1 |
| 21 | 16 | 90/1 |
| 22 | 5 | 95/2 |
| 23 | 3 | 98/2 |
| 24 | 9 | 107/2 |
| 25 | 9 | 116/2 |
| 26 | 5 | 121/2 |
| 27 | 11 | 132/2 |
| 28 | 2 | 134/2 |
| 29 | 4 | 138/2 |
| 30 | 14 | 152/2 |
| 31 | 1 | 153/2 |
| 32 | 14 | 167/2 |
| 33 | 5 | 172/2 |
| 34 | 2 | 174/2 |
| 35 | 5 | 179/2 |
| 36 | 3 | 182/2 |
| 37 | 6 | 188/2 |
| 38 | 3 | 191/2 |
| 39 | 6 | 197/2 |
| 40 | 0 | 197/2 |
| 41 | 2 | 199/2 |
| 42 | 5 | 204/2 |
| 43 | 10 | 214/2 |
| 44 | 6 | 220/2 |
| 45 | 7 | 227/2 |
| 46 | 1 | 228/2 |
| 47 | 0 | 228/2 |
| 48 | 0 | 228/2 |
| 49 | 3 | 231/3 |
| 50 | 1 | 232/3 |
| 51 | 8 | 240/3 |
| 52 | 5 | 245/3 |
| 53 | 6 | 251/3 |
| 54 | 10 | 261/3 |
| 55 | 2 | 263/3 |
| 56 | 7 | 270/3 |
| 57 | 5 | 275/3 |
| 58 | 1 | 276/3 |
| 59 | 4 | 280/3 |
| 60 | 1 | 281/3 |
| 61 | 10 | 291/3 |
| 62 | 0 | 291/3 |
| 63 | 3 | 294/3 |
| 64 | 8 | 302/3 |
| 65 | 0 | 302/3 |
| 66 | 16 | 318/3 |
| 67 | 4 | 322/3 |
| 68 | 4 | 326/3 |
| 69 | 8 | 334/3 |
| 70 | 3 | 337/3 |
| 71 | 7 | 344/3 |
| 72 | 6 | 350/3 |
| 73 | 6 | 356/3 |
| 74 | 8 | 364/3 |
| 75 | 9 | 373/3 |
| 76 | 2 | 375/3 |
| 77 | 6 | 381/3 |
| 78 | 7 | 388/3 |
| 79 | 8 | 396/3 |
| 80 | 4 | 400/3 |
| 81 | 1 | 401/3 |
| 82 | 1 | 402/3 |
| 83 | 3 | 405/3 |
| 84 | 3 | 408/3 |
| 85 | 0 | 408/4 |
| 86 | 7 | 415/4 |
| 87 | 11 | 426/4 |
| 88 | 7 | 433/4 |
| 89 | 0 | 433/5 |
| 90 | 5 | 438/5 |
| 91 | 0 | 438/6 |
| 92 | 3 | 441/6 |
| 93 | 0 | 441/7 |
| 94 | 3 | 444/7 |
| 95 | 9 | 453/7 |
| 96 | 0 | 453/7 |
| 97 | 4 | 457/7 |
| 98 | 1 | 458/8 |
| 99 | 4 | 462/8 |
| 100 | 0 | 462/10 |
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ajaz Patel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ravichandran Ashwin: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 3.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kuldeep Yadav: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Tim Southee: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Virat Kohli: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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