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South Africa tour of Pakistan · 2025/26 · Men
12 Oct 2025 · Test
Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Abdullah Shafiquelbw · Kagiso Rabada0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kagiso Rabada | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
 Imam-ul-Haqcaught · Tony de Zorzi · Senuran Muthusamy7 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tony de Zorzi · b Senuran Muthusamy | 93 | 153 | 7 | 1 | 60.78 |
 Shan Masoodlbw · Prenelan Subrayen9 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Prenelan Subrayen | 76 | 147 | 9 | 1 | 51.70 |
| lbw · b Simon Harmer |
| 23 |
| 48 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 47.92 |
 Saud Shakeelcaught and bowled · Senuran Muthusamy0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Senuran Muthusamy | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Mohammad Rizwancaught · Kyle Verreynne · Senuran Muthusamy2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Kyle Verreynne · b Senuran Muthusamy | 75 | 140 | 2 | 2 | 53.57 |
|---|
| Salman Ali Aghacaught · Senuran Muthusamy · Prenelan Subrayen 5 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Senuran Muthusamy · b Prenelan Subrayen | 93 | 145 | 5 | 3 | 64.14 |
|---|
| Nauman Alibowled · Senuran Muthusamy 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Senuran Muthusamy | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Sajid Khancaught · Aiden Markram · Senuran Muthusamy 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aiden Markram · b Senuran Muthusamy | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Shaheen Afridibowled · Senuran Muthusamy1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Senuran Muthusamy | 7 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 30.43 |
|---|
 Hasan Alinot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 0 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kagiso Rabada2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 17.0 | 2 | 56 | 1 | 3.29 | 0 | 0 |
 Wiaan Mulder0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 2 |
| Prenelan Subrayen1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 25.4 | 1 | 78 | 2 | 3.04 | 0 | 0 |
 Simon Harmer5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 33.0 | 5 | 101 | 1 | 3.06 | 0 | 0 |
| Senuran Muthusamy6 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 32.0 | 6 | 117 | 6 | 3.66 | 0 | 0 |
 Aiden Markram0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-2 (Abdullah Shafique, 0.3) · 2-163 (Shan Masood, 47.3) · 3-199 (Imam-ul-Haq, 56.5) · 4-199 (Saud Shakeel, 57.0) · 5-199 (Mohammad Babar Azam, 59.2) · 6-362 (Mohammad Rizwan, 101.3) · 7-362 (Nauman Ali, 101.5) · 8-362 (Sajid Khan, 102.0) · 9-378 (Shaheen Afridi, 109.3) · 10-378 (Salman Ali Agha, 110.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/1 |
| 2 | 7 | 17/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 22/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 28/1 |
| 5 | 0 | 28/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 35/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 40/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 45/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 49/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 51/1 |
| 11 | 2 | 53/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 55/1 |
| 13 | 3 | 58/1 |
| 14 | 7 | 65/1 |
| 15 | 2 | 67/1 |
| 16 | 5 | 72/1 |
| 17 | 0 | 72/1 |
| 18 | 3 | 75/1 |
| 19 | 5 | 80/1 |
| 20 | 10 | 90/1 |
| 21 | 1 | 91/1 |
| 22 | 0 | 91/1 |
| 23 | 5 | 96/1 |
| 24 | 1 | 97/1 |
| 25 | 4 | 101/1 |
| 26 | 1 | 102/1 |
| 27 | 3 | 105/1 |
| 28 | 2 | 107/1 |
| 29 | 0 | 107/1 |
| 30 | 0 | 107/1 |
| 31 | 5 | 112/1 |
| 32 | 1 | 113/1 |
| 33 | 5 | 118/1 |
| 34 | 1 | 119/1 |
| 35 | 4 | 123/1 |
| 36 | 10 | 133/1 |
| 37 | 4 | 137/1 |
| 38 | 1 | 138/1 |
| 39 | 0 | 138/1 |
| 40 | 2 | 140/1 |
| 41 | 1 | 141/1 |
| 42 | 2 | 143/1 |
| 43 | 2 | 145/1 |
| 44 | 2 | 147/1 |
| 45 | 8 | 155/1 |
| 46 | 3 | 158/1 |
| 47 | 5 | 163/1 |
| 48 | 1 | 164/2 |
| 49 | 4 | 168/2 |
| 50 | 4 | 172/2 |
| 51 | 8 | 180/2 |
| 52 | 8 | 188/2 |
| 53 | 0 | 188/2 |
| 54 | 1 | 189/2 |
| 55 | 2 | 191/2 |
| 56 | 2 | 193/2 |
| 57 | 6 | 199/4 |
| 58 | 0 | 199/4 |
| 59 | 0 | 199/4 |
| 60 | 2 | 201/5 |
| 61 | 7 | 208/5 |
| 62 | 8 | 216/5 |
| 63 | 2 | 218/5 |
| 64 | 7 | 225/5 |
| 65 | 1 | 226/5 |
| 66 | 1 | 227/5 |
| 67 | 1 | 228/5 |
| 68 | 3 | 231/5 |
| 69 | 3 | 234/5 |
| 70 | 3 | 237/5 |
| 71 | 9 | 246/5 |
| 72 | 2 | 248/5 |
| 73 | 0 | 248/5 |
| 74 | 5 | 253/5 |
| 75 | 1 | 254/5 |
| 76 | 4 | 258/5 |
| 77 | 8 | 266/5 |
| 78 | 3 | 269/5 |
| 79 | 6 | 275/5 |
| 80 | 4 | 279/5 |
| 81 | 2 | 281/5 |
| 82 | 5 | 286/5 |
| 83 | 2 | 288/5 |
| 84 | 7 | 295/5 |
| 85 | 3 | 298/5 |
| 86 | 8 | 306/5 |
| 87 | 4 | 310/5 |
| 88 | 2 | 312/5 |
| 89 | 1 | 313/5 |
| 90 | 0 | 313/5 |
| 91 | 2 | 315/5 |
| 92 | 2 | 317/5 |
| 93 | 5 | 322/5 |
| 94 | 5 | 327/5 |
| 95 | 9 | 336/5 |
| 96 | 1 | 337/5 |
| 97 | 7 | 344/5 |
| 98 | 5 | 349/5 |
| 99 | 7 | 356/5 |
| 100 | 5 | 361/5 |
| 101 | 1 | 362/5 |
| 102 | 0 | 362/8 |
| 103 | 1 | 363/8 |
| 104 | 5 | 368/8 |
| 105 | 1 | 369/8 |
| 106 | 1 | 370/8 |
| 107 | 3 | 373/8 |
| 108 | 4 | 377/8 |
| 109 | 0 | 377/8 |
| 110 | 1 | 378/9 |
| 111 | 0 | 378/10 |
Imam-ul-Haq: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shaheen Afridi: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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