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South Africa tour of Pakistan · 2025/26 · Men
12 Oct 2025 · Test
Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Nauman Ali | 20 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 54.05 |
9 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Mohammad Babar Azam · b Salman Ali Agha | 71 | 137 | 9 | 2 | 51.82 |
3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Nauman Ali | 17 | 41 | 3 | 0 | 41.46 |
| Tony de Zorzicaught · Shaheen Afridi · Nauman Ali 10 fours · 2 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Shaheen Afridi · b Nauman Ali |
| 104 |
| 171 |
| 10 |
| 2 |
| 60.82 |
| Tristan Stubbscaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Nauman Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Nauman Ali | 8 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 47.06 |
|---|
| Dewald Breviscaught · Shan Masood · Sajid Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shan Masood · b Sajid Khan | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Kyle Verreynnelbw · Nauman Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nauman Ali | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 15.38 |
|---|
| Senuran Muthusamycaught · Salman Ali Agha · Sajid Khan 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Salman Ali Agha · b Sajid Khan | 11 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 32.35 |
|---|
2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 19* | 36 | 2 | 0 | 52.78 |
|---|
| Prenelan Subrayencaught · Salman Ali Agha · Nauman Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Salman Ali Agha · b Nauman Ali | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 36.36 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sajid Khan | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 1 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nauman Ali3 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 35.0 | 3 | 112 | 6 | 3.20 | 0 | 2 |
| Sajid Khan2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 33.0 | 2 | 98 | 3 | 2.97 | 1 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 3.50 | 0 | 1 | |
| Salman Ali Agha2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 2 | 21 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-45 (Aiden Markram, 11.5) · 2-80 (Wiaan Mulder, 24.5) · 3-174 (Ryan Rickelton, 50.1) · 4-192 (Tristan Stubbs, 55.0) · 5-193 (Dewald Brevis, 56.0) · 6-200 (Kyle Verreynne, 60.3) · 7-228 (Senuran Muthusamy, 71.4) · 8-256 (Tony de Zorzi, 78.1) · 9-268 (Prenelan Subrayen, 82.2) · 10-269 (Kagiso Rabada, 84.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 6/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 10/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 12/0 |
| 6 | 7 | 19/0 |
| 7 | 2 | 21/0 |
| 8 | 5 | 26/0 |
| 9 | 5 | 31/0 |
| 10 | 7 | 38/0 |
| 11 | 6 | 44/0 |
| 12 | 1 | 45/1 |
| 13 | 0 | 45/1 |
| 14 | 2 | 47/1 |
| 15 | 4 | 51/1 |
| 16 | 5 | 56/1 |
| 17 | 9 | 65/1 |
| 18 | 0 | 65/1 |
| 19 | 4 | 69/1 |
| 20 | 5 | 74/1 |
| 21 | 1 | 75/1 |
| 22 | 0 | 75/1 |
| 23 | 5 | 80/1 |
| 24 | 0 | 80/1 |
| 25 | 1 | 81/2 |
| 26 | 9 | 90/2 |
| 27 | 1 | 91/2 |
| 28 | 0 | 91/2 |
| 29 | 3 | 94/2 |
| 30 | 6 | 100/2 |
| 31 | 2 | 102/2 |
| 32 | 4 | 106/2 |
| 33 | 3 | 109/2 |
| 34 | 3 | 112/2 |
| 35 | 0 | 112/2 |
| 36 | 4 | 116/2 |
| 37 | 6 | 122/2 |
| 38 | 4 | 126/2 |
| 39 | 4 | 130/2 |
| 40 | 7 | 137/2 |
| 41 | 1 | 138/2 |
| 42 | 6 | 144/2 |
| 43 | 6 | 150/2 |
| 44 | 4 | 154/2 |
| 45 | 0 | 154/2 |
| 46 | 0 | 154/2 |
| 47 | 10 | 164/2 |
| 48 | 5 | 169/2 |
| 49 | 3 | 172/2 |
| 50 | 2 | 174/2 |
| 51 | 2 | 176/3 |
| 52 | 6 | 182/3 |
| 53 | 7 | 189/3 |
| 54 | 2 | 191/3 |
| 55 | 1 | 192/4 |
| 56 | 1 | 193/5 |
| 57 | 1 | 194/5 |
| 58 | 1 | 195/5 |
| 59 | 2 | 197/5 |
| 60 | 2 | 199/5 |
| 61 | 5 | 204/6 |
| 62 | 3 | 207/6 |
| 63 | 2 | 209/6 |
| 64 | 2 | 211/6 |
| 65 | 0 | 211/6 |
| 66 | 0 | 211/6 |
| 67 | 5 | 216/6 |
| 68 | 2 | 218/6 |
| 69 | 1 | 219/6 |
| 70 | 7 | 226/6 |
| 71 | 1 | 227/6 |
| 72 | 2 | 229/7 |
| 73 | 4 | 233/7 |
| 74 | 5 | 238/7 |
| 75 | 9 | 247/7 |
| 76 | 3 | 250/7 |
| 77 | 4 | 254/7 |
| 78 | 2 | 256/7 |
| 79 | 5 | 261/8 |
| 80 | 2 | 263/8 |
| 81 | 2 | 265/8 |
| 82 | 2 | 267/8 |
| 83 | 1 | 268/9 |
| 84 | 1 | 269/10 |
Imam-ul-Haq: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shaheen Afridi: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.