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South Africa tour of Pakistan · 2025/26 · Men
12 Oct 2025 · Test
Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Abdullah Shafiquecaught and bowled · Senuran Muthusamy6 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Senuran Muthusamy | 41 | 73 | 6 | 0 | 56.16 |
 Imam-ul-Haqstumped · Kyle Verreynne · Simon Harmer0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Kyle Verreynne · b Simon Harmer | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Shan Masoodlbw · Simon Harmer1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Simon Harmer | 7 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 41.18 |
| lbw · b Kagiso Rabada |
| 42 |
| 72 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 58.33 |
 Saud Shakeelcaught · Tristan Stubbs · Senuran Muthusamy7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tristan Stubbs · b Senuran Muthusamy | 38 | 53 | 7 | 0 | 71.70 |
|---|
 Mohammad Rizwanbowled · Simon Harmer1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Simon Harmer | 14 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 51.85 |
|---|
| Salman Ali Aghabowled · Senuran Muthusamy 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Senuran Muthusamy | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 36.36 |
|---|
 Shaheen Afridicaught · Wiaan Mulder · Senuran Muthusamy0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wiaan Mulder · b Senuran Muthusamy | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Nauman Alilbw · Senuran Muthusamy 0 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Senuran Muthusamy | 11 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 68.75 |
|---|
| Sajid Khancaught · Dewald Brevis · Simon Harmer 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dewald Brevis · b Simon Harmer | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
 Hasan Alinot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 0 · noballs: 5 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kagiso Rabada0 maidens · 0 wides · 5 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 3.30 | 0 | 5 |
 Simon Harmer3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.1 | 3 | 51 | 4 | 3.60 | 0 | 0 |
| Senuran Muthusamy1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 17.0 | 1 | 57 | 5 | 3.35 | 0 | 0 |
| Prenelan Subrayen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 4.40 | 0 | 0 |
1-2 (Imam-ul-Haq, 1.4) · 2-33 (Shan Masood, 9.2) · 3-64 (Abdullah Shafique, 19.0) · 4-119 (Mohammad Babar Azam, 30.5) · 5-150 (Saud Shakeel, 39.4) · 6-150 (Mohammad Rizwan, 40.1) · 7-151 (Shaheen Afridi, 41.3) · 8-166 (Salman Ali Agha, 45.1) · 9-167 (Nauman Ali, 46.0) · 10-167 (Sajid Khan, 46.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 2/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 6/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 11/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 14/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 19/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 26/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 29/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 33/1 |
| 10 | 1 | 34/2 |
| 11 | 2 | 36/2 |
| 12 | 4 | 40/2 |
| 13 | 3 | 43/2 |
| 14 | 8 | 51/2 |
| 15 | 6 | 57/2 |
| 16 | 1 | 58/2 |
| 17 | 1 | 59/2 |
| 18 | 3 | 62/2 |
| 19 | 2 | 64/3 |
| 20 | 1 | 65/3 |
| 21 | 5 | 70/3 |
| 22 | 3 | 73/3 |
| 23 | 3 | 76/3 |
| 24 | 6 | 82/3 |
| 25 | 5 | 87/3 |
| 26 | 2 | 89/3 |
| 27 | 2 | 91/3 |
| 28 | 10 | 101/3 |
| 29 | 1 | 102/3 |
| 30 | 12 | 114/3 |
| 31 | 5 | 119/4 |
| 32 | 0 | 119/4 |
| 33 | 2 | 121/4 |
| 34 | 2 | 123/4 |
| 35 | 5 | 128/4 |
| 36 | 2 | 130/4 |
| 37 | 5 | 135/4 |
| 38 | 2 | 137/4 |
| 39 | 12 | 149/4 |
| 40 | 1 | 150/5 |
| 41 | 0 | 150/6 |
| 42 | 1 | 151/7 |
| 43 | 3 | 154/7 |
| 44 | 9 | 163/7 |
| 45 | 3 | 166/7 |
| 46 | 1 | 167/9 |
| 47 | 0 | 167/10 |
Imam-ul-Haq: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shaheen Afridi: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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