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Photo: Paul Williams from United Kingdom
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
14 Jul 2024 · T20
The County Ground, Chelmsford · Venue photographRecorded result
Surrey started on 47%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 30% to 99% during the match (Essex: 1% to 70%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adam Rossingtoncaught · Jamie Overton · Sam Curran5 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Jamie Overton · b Sam Curran | 78 | 49 | 5 | 5 | 159.18 |
 Dean Elgarcaught · Will Jacks · Jordan Clark2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Jacks · b Jordan Clark | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 112.50 |
| Michael-Kyle Peppercaught · Chris Jordan · Cameron Steel 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Chris Jordan · b Cameron Steel | 27 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 150.00 |
| CWJ Allisonbowled · Cameron Steel 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Cameron Steel | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| caught · Rory Burns · b Jordan Clark |
| 4 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 57.14 |
 Matthew Critchleycaught · Jamie Overton · Chris Jordan1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Overton · b Chris Jordan | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.00 |
|---|
| Luc Benkensteinbowled · Chris Jordan 3 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Chris Jordan | 27 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 168.75 |
|---|
 Simon Harmercaught · Jamie Overton · Chris Jordan0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Overton · b Chris Jordan | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Eathan Boschnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 160.00 |
|---|
 Shane Snaternot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 2 | 1 | 0 | 250.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sam Curran0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 10.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Worrall0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Jordan Clark0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Chris Jordan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 3 | 8.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Cameron Steel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Tom Lawes0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-21 (Dean Elgar, 2.4) · 2-87 (Michael-Kyle Pepper, 9.1) · 3-89 (CWJ Allison, 10.0) · 4-104 (Paul Walter, 12.3) · 5-124 (Matthew Critchley, 14.1) · 6-148 (Adam Rossington, 17.3) · 7-162 (Luc Benkenstein, 18.4) · 8-164 (Simon Harmer, 19.0)
Recorded target: 190 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 25/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 36/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 42/1 |
| 6 | 13 | 55/1 |
| 7 | 15 | 70/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 73/1 |
| 9 | 14 | 87/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 89/3 |
| 11 | 3 | 92/3 |
| 12 | 10 | 102/3 |
| 13 | 8 | 110/4 |
| 14 | 14 | 124/4 |
| 15 | 3 | 127/5 |
| 16 | 5 | 132/5 |
| 17 | 11 | 143/5 |
| 18 | 12 | 155/6 |
| 19 | 9 | 164/8 |
| 20 | 12 | 176/8 |
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dean Elgar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Shane Snater: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Cook: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dominic Sibley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rory Burns: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jordan Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Rossington: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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