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Photo: Paul Williams from United Kingdom
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
14 Jul 2024 · T20
The County Ground, Chelmsford · Venue photographRecorded result
Surrey started on 47%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 30% to 99% during the match (Essex: 1% to 70%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jackscaught · CWJ Allison · Simon Harmer6 fours · 5 sixes | caught · CWJ Allison · b Simon Harmer | 86 | 46 | 6 | 5 | 186.96 |
 Dominic Sibleylbw · Shane Snater2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Shane Snater | 12 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Laurie Evansbowled · Matthew Critchley 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Matthew Critchley | 13 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 130.00 |
 Rory Burnsbowled · Simon Harmer0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Simon Harmer | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
 Sam Curranlbw · Simon Harmer0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| lbw · b Simon Harmer |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
 Jamie Overtoncaught · Eathan Bosch · Matthew Critchley1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Eathan Bosch · b Matthew Critchley | 14 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 140.00 |
|---|
 Jordan Clarkcaught · Sam Cook · Paul Walter2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sam Cook · b Paul Walter | 23 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 164.29 |
|---|
 Chris Jordancaught · Luc Benkenstein · Sam Cook0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Luc Benkenstein · b Sam Cook | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Cameron Steelnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 14* | 8 | 1 | 1 | 175.00 |
|---|
| Tom Lawescaught · CWJ Allison · Paul Walter 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · CWJ Allison · b Paul Walter | 12 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Daniel Worrallnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sam Cook0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 2 | 0 |
 Simon Harmer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 3 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Eathan Bosch0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Shane Snater0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Matthew Critchley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Luc Benkenstein0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 14.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Paul Walter0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 8.67 | 0 | 2 |
1-34 (Dominic Sibley, 3.3) · 2-64 (Laurie Evans, 6.3) · 3-69 (Rory Burns, 7.3) · 4-69 (Sam Curran, 7.4) · 5-90 (Jamie Overton, 10.3) · 6-153 (Will Jacks, 15.5) · 7-157 (Jordan Clark, 17.0) · 8-158 (Chris Jordan, 17.1) · 9-175 (Tom Lawes, 18.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 14 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 29/0 |
| 4 | 13 | 42/1 |
| 5 | 9 | 51/1 |
| 6 | 11 | 62/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 67/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 71/4 |
| 9 | 3 | 74/4 |
| 10 | 14 | 88/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 92/5 |
| 12 | 11 | 103/5 |
| 13 | 11 | 114/5 |
| 14 | 10 | 124/5 |
| 15 | 15 | 139/5 |
| 16 | 15 | 154/6 |
| 17 | 3 | 157/7 |
| 18 | 6 | 163/8 |
| 19 | 13 | 176/9 |
| 20 | 13 | 189/9 |
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dean Elgar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Shane Snater: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Cook: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dominic Sibley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rory Burns: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jordan Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Rossington: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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