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Ireland tour of Bangladesh · 2025/26 · Men
19 Nov 2025 · Test
Shere Bangla National Stadium, Mirpur · Venue photographRecorded result
Bangladesh more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Andrew Balbirniecaught · Najmul Hossain Shanto · Hasan Murad3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Najmul Hossain Shanto · b Hasan Murad | 21 | 60 | 3 | 0 | 35.00 |
 Paul Stirlinglbw · Khaled Ahmed4 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Khaled Ahmed | 27 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 103.85 |
| Cade Carmichaellbw · Mehedi Hasan 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mehedi Hasan | 17 | 51 | 2 | 0 | 33.33 |
 |
| lbw · b Taijul Islam |
| 14 |
| 34 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 41.18 |
| Curtis Campherbowled · Hasan Murad 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hasan Murad | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Lorcan Tuckernot out 7 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 75* | 171 | 7 | 0 | 43.86 |
|---|
| Stephen Dohenybowled · Taijul Islam 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Taijul Islam | 46 | 77 | 4 | 0 | 59.74 |
|---|
 Andrew McBrinebowled · Taijul Islam0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Taijul Islam | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Jordan Neillcaught · Mominul Haque · Ebadat Hossain 9 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mominul Haque · b Ebadat Hossain | 49 | 83 | 9 | 0 | 59.04 |
|---|
| Gavin Hoeycaught · Litton Das · Khaled Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Litton Das · b Khaled Ahmed | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Matthew Humphreyscaught · Khaled Ahmed · Taijul Islam 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Khaled Ahmed · b Taijul Islam | 4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 28.57 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 0 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebadat Hossain1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 12.0 | 1 | 47 | 1 | 3.92 | 0 | 0 |
 Khaled Ahmed0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 4.88 | 0 | 1 |
 Taijul Islam6 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 35.3 | 6 | 76 | 4 | 2.14 | 0 | 0 |
| Hasan Murad3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 21.0 | 3 | 53 | 2 | 2.52 | 0 | 0 |
 Mehedi Hasan1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 38 | 1 | 4.22 | 0 | 0 |
 Mominul Haque1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-41 (Paul Stirling, 10.3) · 2-63 (Andrew Balbirnie, 18.3) · 3-79 (Cade Carmichael, 25.5) · 4-84 (Curtis Campher, 26.5) · 5-94 (Harry Tector, 33.1) · 6-175 (Stephen Doheny, 58.1) · 7-175 (Andrew McBrine, 58.3) · 8-249 (Jordan Neill, 82.4) · 9-256 (Gavin Hoey, 85.3) · 10-265 (Matthew Humphreys, 88.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 8/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 12/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 16/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 20/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 24/0 |
| 8 | 1 | 25/0 |
| 9 | 1 | 26/0 |
| 10 | 11 | 37/0 |
| 11 | 4 | 41/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 43/1 |
| 13 | 1 | 44/1 |
| 14 | 1 | 45/1 |
| 15 | 9 | 54/1 |
| 16 | 1 | 55/1 |
| 17 | 6 | 61/1 |
| 18 | 1 | 62/1 |
| 19 | 3 | 65/2 |
| 20 | 0 | 65/2 |
| 21 | 1 | 66/2 |
| 22 | 1 | 67/2 |
| 23 | 0 | 67/2 |
| 24 | 4 | 71/2 |
| 25 | 1 | 72/2 |
| 26 | 7 | 79/3 |
| 27 | 6 | 85/4 |
| 28 | 1 | 86/4 |
| 29 | 1 | 87/4 |
| 30 | 3 | 90/4 |
| 31 | 1 | 91/4 |
| 32 | 3 | 94/4 |
| 33 | 0 | 94/4 |
| 34 | 2 | 96/5 |
| 35 | 1 | 97/5 |
| 36 | 1 | 98/5 |
| 37 | 0 | 98/5 |
| 38 | 0 | 98/5 |
| 39 | 1 | 99/5 |
| 40 | 6 | 105/5 |
| 41 | 3 | 108/5 |
| 42 | 8 | 116/5 |
| 43 | 3 | 119/5 |
| 44 | 3 | 122/5 |
| 45 | 0 | 122/5 |
| 46 | 10 | 132/5 |
| 47 | 4 | 136/5 |
| 48 | 8 | 144/5 |
| 49 | 6 | 150/5 |
| 50 | 7 | 157/5 |
| 51 | 1 | 158/5 |
| 52 | 4 | 162/5 |
| 53 | 0 | 162/5 |
| 54 | 0 | 162/5 |
| 55 | 1 | 163/5 |
| 56 | 6 | 169/5 |
| 57 | 2 | 171/5 |
| 58 | 4 | 175/5 |
| 59 | 0 | 175/7 |
| 60 | 5 | 180/7 |
| 61 | 2 | 182/7 |
| 62 | 3 | 185/7 |
| 63 | 8 | 193/7 |
| 64 | 9 | 202/7 |
| 65 | 1 | 203/7 |
| 66 | 1 | 204/7 |
| 67 | 0 | 204/7 |
| 68 | 4 | 208/7 |
| 69 | 3 | 211/7 |
| 70 | 1 | 212/7 |
| 71 | 1 | 213/7 |
| 72 | 2 | 215/7 |
| 73 | 0 | 215/7 |
| 74 | 1 | 216/7 |
| 75 | 2 | 218/7 |
| 76 | 8 | 226/7 |
| 77 | 2 | 228/7 |
| 78 | 5 | 233/7 |
| 79 | 2 | 235/7 |
| 80 | 4 | 239/7 |
| 81 | 5 | 244/7 |
| 82 | 4 | 248/7 |
| 83 | 3 | 251/8 |
| 84 | 1 | 252/8 |
| 85 | 2 | 254/8 |
| 86 | 2 | 256/9 |
| 87 | 1 | 257/9 |
| 88 | 7 | 264/9 |
| 89 | 1 | 265/10 |
Khaled Ahmed: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mahmudul Hasan Joy: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mominul Haque: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harry Tector: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taijul Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Paul Stirling: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Andrew Balbirnie: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mushfiqur Rahim: Rasi56 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Andrew McBrine: AssociateAffiliate · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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