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Photo: Ranadipam Basu
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Ireland tour of Bangladesh · 2025/26 · Men
19 Nov 2025 · Test
Shere Bangla National Stadium, Mirpur · Venue photographRecorded result
Bangladesh more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mahmudul Hasan Joylbw · Gavin Hoey6 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Gavin Hoey | 60 | 91 | 6 | 0 | 65.93 |
| Shadman Islamlbw · Andrew McBrine 7 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Andrew McBrine | 78 | 119 | 7 | 0 | 65.55 |
 Mominul Haquecaught · Curtis Campher · Gavin Hoey10 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Curtis Campher · b Gavin Hoey | 87 | 118 | 10 | 0 | 73.73 |
 |
| caught · Andrew Balbirnie · b Jordan Neill |
| 1 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 20.00 |
 Mushfiqur Rahimnot out2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 53* | 81 | 2 | 1 | 65.43 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 16 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Neill1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 48 | 1 | 5.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Matthew Humphreys0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.0 | 0 | 54 | 0 | 3.60 | 0 | 0 |
 Andrew McBrine2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 26.0 | 2 | 82 | 1 | 3.15 | 0 | 0 |
| Gavin Hoey0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 17.0 | 0 | 84 | 2 | 4.94 | 0 | 0 |
 Harry Tector0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-119 (Mahmudul Hasan Joy, 31.1) · 2-173 (Shadman Islam, 40.2) · 3-174 (Najmul Hossain Shanto, 41.1) · 4-297 (Mominul Haque, 69.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 13/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 16/0 |
| 5 | 10 | 26/0 |
| 6 | 6 | 32/0 |
| 7 | 9 | 41/0 |
| 8 | 1 | 42/0 |
| 9 | 3 | 45/0 |
| 10 | 8 | 53/0 |
| 11 | 3 | 56/0 |
| 12 | 2 | 58/0 |
| 13 | 2 | 60/0 |
| 14 | 1 | 61/0 |
| 15 | 6 | 67/0 |
| 16 | 3 | 70/0 |
| 17 | 0 | 70/0 |
| 18 | 3 | 73/0 |
| 19 | 1 | 74/0 |
| 20 | 3 | 77/0 |
| 21 | 4 | 81/0 |
| 22 | 8 | 89/0 |
| 23 | 4 | 93/0 |
| 24 | 3 | 96/0 |
| 25 | 2 | 98/0 |
| 26 | 5 | 103/0 |
| 27 | 5 | 108/0 |
| 28 | 5 | 113/0 |
| 29 | 1 | 114/0 |
| 30 | 4 | 118/0 |
| 31 | 1 | 119/0 |
| 32 | 4 | 123/1 |
| 33 | 3 | 126/1 |
| 34 | 5 | 131/1 |
| 35 | 4 | 135/1 |
| 36 | 12 | 147/1 |
| 37 | 9 | 156/1 |
| 38 | 6 | 162/1 |
| 39 | 5 | 167/1 |
| 40 | 5 | 172/1 |
| 41 | 2 | 174/2 |
| 42 | 2 | 176/3 |
| 43 | 5 | 181/3 |
| 44 | 0 | 181/3 |
| 45 | 4 | 185/3 |
| 46 | 8 | 193/3 |
| 47 | 4 | 197/3 |
| 48 | 3 | 200/3 |
| 49 | 5 | 205/3 |
| 50 | 1 | 206/3 |
| 51 | 1 | 207/3 |
| 52 | 2 | 209/3 |
| 53 | 3 | 212/3 |
| 54 | 5 | 217/3 |
| 55 | 2 | 219/3 |
| 56 | 4 | 223/3 |
| 57 | 2 | 225/3 |
| 58 | 6 | 231/3 |
| 59 | 9 | 240/3 |
| 60 | 2 | 242/3 |
| 61 | 7 | 249/3 |
| 62 | 6 | 255/3 |
| 63 | 10 | 265/3 |
| 64 | 5 | 270/3 |
| 65 | 3 | 273/3 |
| 66 | 7 | 280/3 |
| 67 | 5 | 285/3 |
| 68 | 9 | 294/3 |
| 69 | 3 | 297/4 |
Khaled Ahmed: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mahmudul Hasan Joy: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mominul Haque: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harry Tector: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taijul Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Paul Stirling: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Andrew Balbirnie: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mushfiqur Rahim: Rasi56 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Andrew McBrine: AssociateAffiliate · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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