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Ireland tour of Bangladesh · 2025/26 · Men
19 Nov 2025 · Test
Shere Bangla National Stadium, Mirpur · Venue photographRecorded result
Bangladesh more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Andrew Balbirnielbw · Taijul Islam2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Taijul Islam | 13 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 68.42 |
 Paul Stirlingcaught · Mahmudul Hasan Joy · Taijul Islam1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mahmudul Hasan Joy · b Taijul Islam | 9 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Cade Carmichaellbw · Hasan Murad 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Hasan Murad | 19 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 76.00 |
 |
| caught · Mushfiqur Rahim · b Hasan Murad |
| 50 |
| 80 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 62.50 |
| Curtis Camphernot out 4 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 71* | 259 | 4 | 2 | 27.41 |
|---|
| Lorcan Tuckercaught · Litton Das · Khaled Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Litton Das · b Khaled Ahmed | 7 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 43.75 |
|---|
| Stephen Dohenylbw · Taijul Islam 0 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Taijul Islam | 15 | 52 | 0 | 1 | 28.85 |
|---|
 Andrew McBrinelbw · Taijul Islam3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Taijul Islam | 21 | 53 | 3 | 0 | 39.62 |
|---|
| Jordan Neillbowled · Mehedi Hasan 5 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Mehedi Hasan | 30 | 46 | 5 | 1 | 65.22 |
|---|
| Gavin Hoeylbw · Hasan Murad 4 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Hasan Murad | 37 | 104 | 4 | 0 | 35.58 |
|---|
| Matthew Humphreysbowled · Hasan Murad 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hasan Murad | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 17 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 0 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebadat Hossain3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.0 | 3 | 29 | 0 | 2.64 | 0 | 0 |
 Taijul Islam7 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 40.0 | 7 | 104 | 4 | 2.60 | 0 | 0 |
 Khaled Ahmed0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 12.0 | 0 | 45 | 1 | 3.75 | 0 | 1 |
 Mehedi Hasan11 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 27.0 | 11 | 49 | 1 | 1.81 | 0 | 0 |
| Hasan Murad11 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 22.3 | 11 | 44 | 4 | 1.96 | 0 | 0 |
 Mominul Haque0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-23 (Andrew Balbirnie, 6.0) · 2-26 (Paul Stirling, 7.5) · 3-77 (Cade Carmichael, 19.1) · 4-118 (Harry Tector, 33.2) · 5-127 (Lorcan Tucker, 36.3) · 6-163 (Stephen Doheny, 49.5) · 7-189 (Andrew McBrine, 67.2) · 8-237 (Jordan Neill, 81.3) · 9-291 (Gavin Hoey, 113.2) · 10-291 (Matthew Humphreys, 113.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 18/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 22/0 |
| 6 | 1 | 23/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 24/1 |
| 8 | 2 | 26/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 33/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 36/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 42/2 |
| 12 | 4 | 46/2 |
| 13 | 6 | 52/2 |
| 14 | 5 | 57/2 |
| 15 | 8 | 65/2 |
| 16 | 2 | 67/2 |
| 17 | 0 | 67/2 |
| 18 | 7 | 74/2 |
| 19 | 3 | 77/2 |
| 20 | 0 | 77/3 |
| 21 | 2 | 79/3 |
| 22 | 5 | 84/3 |
| 23 | 4 | 88/3 |
| 24 | 3 | 91/3 |
| 25 | 6 | 97/3 |
| 26 | 0 | 97/3 |
| 27 | 2 | 99/3 |
| 28 | 0 | 99/3 |
| 29 | 8 | 107/3 |
| 30 | 2 | 109/3 |
| 31 | 3 | 112/3 |
| 32 | 3 | 115/3 |
| 33 | 3 | 118/3 |
| 34 | 2 | 120/4 |
| 35 | 2 | 122/4 |
| 36 | 5 | 127/4 |
| 37 | 3 | 130/5 |
| 38 | 0 | 130/5 |
| 39 | 2 | 132/5 |
| 40 | 6 | 138/5 |
| 41 | 1 | 139/5 |
| 42 | 9 | 148/5 |
| 43 | 5 | 153/5 |
| 44 | 1 | 154/5 |
| 45 | 0 | 154/5 |
| 46 | 3 | 157/5 |
| 47 | 1 | 158/5 |
| 48 | 1 | 159/5 |
| 49 | 3 | 162/5 |
| 50 | 1 | 163/6 |
| 51 | 0 | 163/6 |
| 52 | 3 | 166/6 |
| 53 | 10 | 176/6 |
| 54 | 0 | 176/6 |
| 55 | 0 | 176/6 |
| 56 | 2 | 178/6 |
| 57 | 0 | 178/6 |
| 58 | 0 | 178/6 |
| 59 | 0 | 178/6 |
| 60 | 0 | 178/6 |
| 61 | 1 | 179/6 |
| 62 | 1 | 180/6 |
| 63 | 3 | 183/6 |
| 64 | 4 | 187/6 |
| 65 | 0 | 187/6 |
| 66 | 2 | 189/6 |
| 67 | 0 | 189/6 |
| 68 | 5 | 194/7 |
| 69 | 0 | 194/7 |
| 70 | 5 | 199/7 |
| 71 | 2 | 201/7 |
| 72 | 8 | 209/7 |
| 73 | 7 | 216/7 |
| 74 | 7 | 223/7 |
| 75 | 1 | 224/7 |
| 76 | 0 | 224/7 |
| 77 | 0 | 224/7 |
| 78 | 6 | 230/7 |
| 79 | 1 | 231/7 |
| 80 | 1 | 232/7 |
| 81 | 5 | 237/7 |
| 82 | 0 | 237/8 |
| 83 | 1 | 238/8 |
| 84 | 1 | 239/8 |
| 85 | 1 | 240/8 |
| 86 | 4 | 244/8 |
| 87 | 1 | 245/8 |
| 88 | 3 | 248/8 |
| 89 | 4 | 252/8 |
| 90 | 1 | 253/8 |
| 91 | 0 | 253/8 |
| 92 | 10 | 263/8 |
| 93 | 0 | 263/8 |
| 94 | 0 | 263/8 |
| 95 | 0 | 263/8 |
| 96 | 3 | 266/8 |
| 97 | 2 | 268/8 |
| 98 | 0 | 268/8 |
| 99 | 4 | 272/8 |
| 100 | 4 | 276/8 |
| 101 | 0 | 276/8 |
| 102 | 0 | 276/8 |
| 103 | 1 | 277/8 |
| 104 | 3 | 280/8 |
| 105 | 1 | 281/8 |
| 106 | 0 | 281/8 |
| 107 | 1 | 282/8 |
| 108 | 0 | 282/8 |
| 109 | 6 | 288/8 |
| 110 | 0 | 288/8 |
| 111 | 1 | 289/8 |
| 112 | 0 | 289/8 |
| 113 | 2 | 291/8 |
| 114 | 0 | 291/10 |
Khaled Ahmed: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mahmudul Hasan Joy: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mominul Haque: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harry Tector: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taijul Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Paul Stirling: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Andrew Balbirnie: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mushfiqur Rahim: Rasi56 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Andrew McBrine: AssociateAffiliate · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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