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India tour of Sri Lanka · 2026 · Men
15 Aug 2026 · Test
Galle International Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Niroshan Dickwella, Prabath Jayasuriya | 32 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 86.49 |
10 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Nishan Madushka · b Keshara Nuwantha | 82 | 175 | 10 | 1 | 46.86 |
| Devdutt Padikkalstumped · Niroshan Dickwella · Prabath Jayasuriya 15 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Niroshan Dickwella · b Prabath Jayasuriya | 167 | 230 | 15 | 1 | 72.61 |
| caught · Lahiru Udara · b Prabath Jayasuriya |
| 16 |
| 28 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 57.14 |
4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sonal Dinusha · b Keshara Nuwantha | 39 | 62 | 4 | 1 | 62.90 |
|---|
| Dhruv Jurelcaught · Dhananjaya de Silva · Prabath Jayasuriya 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Dhananjaya de Silva · b Prabath Jayasuriya | 51 | 68 | 4 | 1 | 75.00 |
|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Keshara Nuwantha | 13 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 52.00 |
|---|
| Manav Sutharcaught · Lahiru Udara · Prabath Jayasuriya 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lahiru Udara · b Prabath Jayasuriya | 24 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 55.81 |
|---|
0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Dhananjaya de Silva · b Asitha Fernando | 11 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 73.33 |
|---|
2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 13* | 14 | 2 | 0 | 92.86 |
|---|
| Prasidh Krishnacaught · Niroshan Dickwella · Asitha Fernando 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Niroshan Dickwella · b Asitha Fernando | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 1 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asitha Fernando1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 17.4 | 1 | 63 | 2 | 3.57 | 0 | 1 |
| Lahiru Kumara1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 13.0 | 1 | 76 | 0 | 5.85 | 1 | 0 |
| Keshara Nuwantha1 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 39.0 | 1 | 175 | 3 | 4.49 | 0 | 3 |
| Prabath Jayasuriya6 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 39.0 | 6 | 109 | 4 | 2.79 | 0 | 0 |
| Dhananjaya de Silva0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Sonal Dinusha0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-47 (Yashasvi Jaiswal, 11.0) · 2-236 (Shubman Gill, 61.5) · 3-307 (Rishabh Pant, 80.4) · 4-319 (KL Rahul, 84.1) · 5-357 (Devdutt Padikkal, 91.3) · 6-377 (Ravindra Jadeja, 98.1) · 7-432 (Dhruv Jurel, 109.1) · 8-447 (Mohammed Siraj, 113.0) · 9-447 (Manav Suthar, 113.1) · 10-462 (Prasidh Krishna, 116.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 6/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 10/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 13/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 22/0 |
| 7 | 3 | 25/0 |
| 8 | 9 | 34/0 |
| 9 | 4 | 38/0 |
| 10 | 1 | 39/0 |
| 11 | 8 | 47/1 |
| 12 | 0 | 47/1 |
| 13 | 7 | 54/1 |
| 14 | 7 | 61/1 |
| 15 | 2 | 63/1 |
| 16 | 6 | 69/1 |
| 17 | 4 | 73/1 |
| 18 | 2 | 75/1 |
| 19 | 1 | 76/1 |
| 20 | 0 | 76/1 |
| 21 | 4 | 80/1 |
| 22 | 4 | 84/1 |
| 23 | 5 | 89/1 |
| 24 | 1 | 90/1 |
| 25 | 6 | 96/1 |
| 26 | 4 | 100/1 |
| 27 | 1 | 101/1 |
| 28 | 3 | 104/1 |
| 29 | 2 | 106/1 |
| 30 | 0 | 106/1 |
| 31 | 3 | 109/1 |
| 32 | 4 | 113/1 |
| 33 | 3 | 116/1 |
| 34 | 3 | 119/1 |
| 35 | 0 | 119/1 |
| 36 | 2 | 121/1 |
| 37 | 5 | 126/1 |
| 38 | 6 | 132/1 |
| 39 | 3 | 135/1 |
| 40 | 3 | 138/1 |
| 41 | 5 | 143/1 |
| 42 | 5 | 148/1 |
| 43 | 6 | 154/1 |
| 44 | 3 | 157/1 |
| 45 | 3 | 160/1 |
| 46 | 6 | 166/1 |
| 47 | 5 | 171/1 |
| 48 | 0 | 171/1 |
| 49 | 8 | 179/1 |
| 50 | 1 | 180/1 |
| 51 | 2 | 182/1 |
| 52 | 10 | 192/1 |
| 53 | 5 | 197/1 |
| 54 | 3 | 200/1 |
| 55 | 4 | 204/1 |
| 56 | 12 | 216/1 |
| 57 | 3 | 219/1 |
| 58 | 2 | 221/1 |
| 59 | 8 | 229/1 |
| 60 | 5 | 234/1 |
| 61 | 1 | 235/1 |
| 62 | 2 | 237/2 |
| 63 | 2 | 239/2 |
| 64 | 2 | 241/2 |
| 65 | 4 | 245/2 |
| 66 | 1 | 246/2 |
| 67 | 9 | 255/2 |
| 68 | 11 | 266/2 |
| 69 | 7 | 273/2 |
| 70 | 2 | 275/2 |
| 71 | 3 | 278/2 |
| 72 | 6 | 284/2 |
| 73 | 4 | 288/2 |
| 74 | 6 | 294/2 |
| 75 | 2 | 296/2 |
| 76 | 2 | 298/2 |
| 77 | 2 | 300/2 |
| 78 | 0 | 300/2 |
| 79 | 4 | 304/2 |
| 80 | 1 | 305/2 |
| 81 | 2 | 307/3 |
| 82 | 5 | 312/3 |
| 83 | 5 | 317/3 |
| 84 | 2 | 319/3 |
| 85 | 2 | 321/4 |
| 86 | 6 | 327/4 |
| 87 | 6 | 333/4 |
| 88 | 7 | 340/4 |
| 89 | 6 | 346/4 |
| 90 | 7 | 353/4 |
| 91 | 2 | 355/4 |
| 92 | 2 | 357/5 |
| 93 | 4 | 361/5 |
| 94 | 3 | 364/5 |
| 95 | 6 | 370/5 |
| 96 | 1 | 371/5 |
| 97 | 5 | 376/5 |
| 98 | 1 | 377/5 |
| 99 | 0 | 377/6 |
| 100 | 2 | 379/6 |
| 101 | 9 | 388/6 |
| 102 | 2 | 390/6 |
| 103 | 1 | 391/6 |
| 104 | 15 | 406/6 |
| 105 | 2 | 408/6 |
| 106 | 5 | 413/6 |
| 107 | 2 | 415/6 |
| 108 | 9 | 424/6 |
| 109 | 8 | 432/6 |
| 110 | 1 | 433/7 |
| 111 | 11 | 444/7 |
| 112 | 2 | 446/7 |
| 113 | 1 | 447/8 |
| 114 | 4 | 451/9 |
| 115 | 5 | 456/9 |
| 116 | 4 | 460/9 |
| 117 | 2 | 462/10 |
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Kuldeep Yadav: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Dinesh Chandimal: Amal316 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.