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India tour of Sri Lanka · 2026 · Men
15 Aug 2026 · Test
Galle International Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nishan Madushkacaught · Devdutt Padikkal · Mohammed Siraj 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Devdutt Padikkal · b Mohammed Siraj | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Lahiru Udaracaught · Yashasvi Jaiswal · Manav Suthar 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Yashasvi Jaiswal · b Manav Suthar | 27 | 44 | 6 | 0 | 61.36 |
 Dinesh Chandimalcaught · Rishabh Pant · Manav Suthar0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rishabh Pant · b Manav Suthar | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Kamindu Mendiscaught · Shubman Gill · Kuldeep Yadav 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Shubman Gill · b Kuldeep Yadav | 14 | 25 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 56.00 |
| Dhananjaya de Silvacaught · KL Rahul · Ravindra Jadeja 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · KL Rahul · b Ravindra Jadeja | 21 | 41 | 4 | 0 | 51.22 |
|---|
| Sonal Dinushalbw · Ravindra Jadeja 4 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Ravindra Jadeja | 100 | 168 | 4 | 2 | 59.52 |
|---|
| Niroshan Dickwellacaught · Rishabh Pant · Prasidh Krishna 7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rishabh Pant · b Prasidh Krishna | 80 | 115 | 7 | 0 | 69.57 |
|---|
| Keshara Nuwanthacaught · Shubman Gill · Ravindra Jadeja 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shubman Gill · b Ravindra Jadeja | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 11.11 |
|---|
| Prabath Jayasuriyacaught · Dhruv Jurel · Manav Suthar 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dhruv Jurel · b Manav Suthar | 10 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 23.26 |
|---|
| Lahiru Kumarastumped · Rishabh Pant · Manav Suthar 1 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Rishabh Pant · b Manav Suthar | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Asitha Fernandonot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 8 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mohammed Siraj3 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 9.0 | 3 | 29 | 1 | 3.22 | 1 | 1 |
| Prasidh Krishna0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.0 | 0 | 47 | 1 | 3.36 | 1 | 0 |
| Manav Suthar1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 21.4 | 1 | 76 | 4 | 3.51 | 0 | 1 |
 Kuldeep Yadav0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.0 | 0 | 65 | 1 | 4.64 | 0 | 0 |
 Ravindra Jadeja5 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 21.0 | 5 | 57 | 3 | 2.71 | 0 | 2 |
1-0 (Nishan Madushka, 0.2) · 2-27 (Dinesh Chandimal, 7.1) · 3-53 (Lahiru Udara, 13.5) · 4-59 (Kamindu Mendis, 16.1) · 5-90 (Dhananjaya de Silva, 26.1) · 6-236 (Niroshan Dickwella, 61.4) · 7-243 (Keshara Nuwantha, 66.4) · 8-274 (Prabath Jayasuriya, 77.5) · 9-274 (Sonal Dinusha, 78.1) · 10-284 (Lahiru Kumara, 79.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 8/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 12/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 17/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 19/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 27/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 32/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 36/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 40/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 47/2 |
| 12 | 4 | 51/2 |
| 13 | 2 | 53/2 |
| 14 | 0 | 53/3 |
| 15 | 5 | 58/3 |
| 16 | 1 | 59/3 |
| 17 | 3 | 62/4 |
| 18 | 3 | 65/4 |
| 19 | 1 | 66/4 |
| 20 | 1 | 67/4 |
| 21 | 5 | 72/4 |
| 22 | 4 | 76/4 |
| 23 | 4 | 80/4 |
| 24 | 3 | 83/4 |
| 25 | 1 | 84/4 |
| 26 | 6 | 90/4 |
| 27 | 0 | 90/5 |
| 28 | 9 | 99/5 |
| 29 | 6 | 105/5 |
| 30 | 5 | 110/5 |
| 31 | 3 | 113/5 |
| 32 | 5 | 118/5 |
| 33 | 1 | 119/5 |
| 34 | 1 | 120/5 |
| 35 | 4 | 124/5 |
| 36 | 4 | 128/5 |
| 37 | 6 | 134/5 |
| 38 | 3 | 137/5 |
| 39 | 1 | 138/5 |
| 40 | 3 | 141/5 |
| 41 | 5 | 146/5 |
| 42 | 3 | 149/5 |
| 43 | 2 | 151/5 |
| 44 | 2 | 153/5 |
| 45 | 9 | 162/5 |
| 46 | 5 | 167/5 |
| 47 | 3 | 170/5 |
| 48 | 8 | 178/5 |
| 49 | 6 | 184/5 |
| 50 | 0 | 184/5 |
| 51 | 1 | 185/5 |
| 52 | 4 | 189/5 |
| 53 | 6 | 195/5 |
| 54 | 3 | 198/5 |
| 55 | 10 | 208/5 |
| 56 | 2 | 210/5 |
| 57 | 5 | 215/5 |
| 58 | 4 | 219/5 |
| 59 | 13 | 232/5 |
| 60 | 2 | 234/5 |
| 61 | 0 | 234/5 |
| 62 | 2 | 236/6 |
| 63 | 3 | 239/6 |
| 64 | 1 | 240/6 |
| 65 | 1 | 241/6 |
| 66 | 2 | 243/6 |
| 67 | 0 | 243/7 |
| 68 | 1 | 244/7 |
| 69 | 3 | 247/7 |
| 70 | 3 | 250/7 |
| 71 | 1 | 251/7 |
| 72 | 1 | 252/7 |
| 73 | 7 | 259/7 |
| 74 | 5 | 264/7 |
| 75 | 7 | 271/7 |
| 76 | 2 | 273/7 |
| 77 | 0 | 273/7 |
| 78 | 1 | 274/8 |
| 79 | 0 | 274/9 |
| 80 | 10 | 284/10 |
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Kuldeep Yadav: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Dinesh Chandimal: Amal316 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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