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Photo: Ji-Elle
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India tour of Sri Lanka · 2026 · Men
15 Aug 2026 · Test
Galle International Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
On 15 Aug 2026, India played Sri Lanka at Galle International Stadium. Recorded result: India won by 165 runs.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.