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India tour of Sri Lanka · 2026 · Men
15 Aug 2026 · Test
Galle International Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yashasvi Jaiswalcaught · Niroshan Dickwella · Asitha Fernando0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Niroshan Dickwella · b Asitha Fernando | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 KL Rahulcaught · RMMP Rathnayake · Prabath Jayasuriya2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · RMMP Rathnayake · b Prabath Jayasuriya | 35 | 47 | 2 | 2 | 74.47 |
| Devdutt Padikkallbw · Keshara Nuwantha 6 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Keshara Nuwantha | 44 | 75 | 6 | 0 | 58.67 |
 |
| lbw · b Prabath Jayasuriya |
| 8 |
| 20 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 40.00 |
 Rishabh Pantcaught · Niroshan Dickwella · Lahiru Kumara8 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Niroshan Dickwella · b Lahiru Kumara | 66 | 69 | 8 | 2 | 95.65 |
|---|
| Dhruv Jurelcaught · Niroshan Dickwella · Asitha Fernando 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Niroshan Dickwella · b Asitha Fernando | 7 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 46.67 |
|---|
 Ravindra Jadejacaught · Pasindu Sooriyabandara · Lahiru Kumara0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Pasindu Sooriyabandara · b Lahiru Kumara | 9 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 47.37 |
|---|
| Manav Sutharcaught · Niroshan Dickwella · Asitha Fernando 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Niroshan Dickwella · b Asitha Fernando | 9 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 36.00 |
|---|
 Kuldeep Yadavcaught · Dhananjaya de Silva · Prabath Jayasuriya0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dhananjaya de Silva · b Prabath Jayasuriya | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Mohammed Sirajnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Prasidh Krishnacaught · Lahiru Kumara · Asitha Fernando 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lahiru Kumara · b Asitha Fernando | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asitha Fernando0 maidens · 2 wides · 3 no-balls | 8.5 | 0 | 31 | 4 | 3.51 | 2 | 3 |
| Keshara Nuwantha3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 23.0 | 3 | 86 | 1 | 3.74 | 0 | 0 |
| Prabath Jayasuriya0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.0 | 0 | 43 | 3 | 3.91 | 0 | 0 |
| Dhananjaya de Silva0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Lahiru Kumara0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 5.60 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Yashasvi Jaiswal, 0.3) · 2-65 (KL Rahul, 14.4) · 3-81 (Shubman Gill, 20.5) · 4-111 (Devdutt Padikkal, 27.2) · 5-120 (Dhruv Jurel, 30.3) · 6-174 (Rishabh Pant, 40.3) · 7-179 (Ravindra Jadeja, 42.3) · 8-188 (Manav Suthar, 46.2) · 9-190 (Kuldeep Yadav, 47.1) · 10-193 (Prasidh Krishna, 48.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 12/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 15/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 17/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 18/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 22/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 29/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 35/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 40/1 |
| 11 | 9 | 49/1 |
| 12 | 0 | 49/1 |
| 13 | 5 | 54/1 |
| 14 | 5 | 59/1 |
| 15 | 6 | 65/2 |
| 16 | 7 | 72/2 |
| 17 | 5 | 77/2 |
| 18 | 2 | 79/2 |
| 19 | 1 | 80/2 |
| 20 | 1 | 81/2 |
| 21 | 1 | 82/3 |
| 22 | 2 | 84/3 |
| 23 | 1 | 85/3 |
| 24 | 6 | 91/3 |
| 25 | 4 | 95/3 |
| 26 | 8 | 103/3 |
| 27 | 7 | 110/3 |
| 28 | 2 | 112/4 |
| 29 | 4 | 116/4 |
| 30 | 3 | 119/4 |
| 31 | 1 | 120/5 |
| 32 | 0 | 120/5 |
| 33 | 6 | 126/5 |
| 34 | 5 | 131/5 |
| 35 | 8 | 139/5 |
| 36 | 12 | 151/5 |
| 37 | 7 | 158/5 |
| 38 | 1 | 159/5 |
| 39 | 10 | 169/5 |
| 40 | 3 | 172/5 |
| 41 | 3 | 175/6 |
| 42 | 3 | 178/6 |
| 43 | 1 | 179/7 |
| 44 | 0 | 179/7 |
| 45 | 3 | 182/7 |
| 46 | 5 | 187/7 |
| 47 | 3 | 190/8 |
| 48 | 1 | 191/9 |
| 49 | 2 | 193/10 |
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Kuldeep Yadav: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Dinesh Chandimal: Amal316 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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