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Photo: Trentino Priori
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
6 Jan 2026 · T20
Adelaide Oval · Venue photographRecorded result
Adelaide Strikers started on 53%; Adelaide Strikers batted first.
Adelaide Strikers's chances ranged from 18% to 96% during the match (Sydney Thunder: 4% to 82%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Gilkescaught · Mackenzie Harvey · Jamie Overton 4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Mackenzie Harvey · b Jamie Overton | 43 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 130.30 |
 David Warnernot out7 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 67* | 51 | 7 | 1 | 131.37 |
 Sam Billingscaught · Jamie Overton · Lloyd Pope0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Overton · b Lloyd Pope | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
 Sam Konstascaught · Liam Scott · Hasan Ali0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Liam Scott · b Hasan Ali | 2 | 6 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 33.33 |
 Nic Maddinsonbowled · Jamie Overton0 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Jamie Overton | 21 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 150.00 |
|---|
 Daniel Samsbowled · Lloyd Pope0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Lloyd Pope | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 233.33 |
|---|
 Chris Greenrun out · Mackenzie Harvey, Jerrssis Wadia · Matthew Short0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Mackenzie Harvey, Jerrssis Wadia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 David Willeycaught · Matthew Short · Jamie Overton0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Matthew Short · b Jamie Overton | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Nathan McAndrewnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Luke Wood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Scott0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Hasan Ali1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Short0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Jamie Overton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Lloyd Pope0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-73 (Matthew Gilkes, 9.4) · 2-74 (Sam Billings, 10.1) · 3-77 (Sam Konstas, 11.2) · 4-121 (Nic Maddinson, 15.5) · 5-128 (Daniel Sams, 16.2) · 6-142 (Chris Green, 17.4) · 7-153 (David Willey, 18.5)
Recorded target: 166 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 28/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 29/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 36/0 |
| 6 | 11 | 47/0 |
| 7 | 8 | 55/0 |
| 8 | 9 | 64/0 |
| 9 | 8 | 72/0 |
| 10 | 2 | 74/1 |
| 11 | 3 | 77/2 |
| 12 | 2 | 79/3 |
| 13 | 13 | 92/3 |
| 14 | 11 | 103/3 |
| 15 | 16 | 119/3 |
| 16 | 3 | 122/4 |
| 17 | 10 | 132/5 |
| 18 | 12 | 144/6 |
| 19 | 9 | 153/7 |
| 20 | 6 | 159/7 |
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Nic Maddinson: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
David Warner: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Konstas: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Jason Sangha: DustyNail · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Lynn: Haley Jackson · CC BY 2.0
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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