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Photo: Trentino Priori
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
6 Jan 2026 · T20
Adelaide Oval · Venue photographRecorded result
Adelaide Strikers started on 53%; Adelaide Strikers batted first.
Adelaide Strikers's chances ranged from 18% to 96% during the match (Sydney Thunder: 4% to 82%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 6 Jan 2026, Adelaide Strikers played Sydney Thunder at Adelaide Oval. Recorded result: Adelaide Strikers won by 6 runs.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.