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India tour of England · 2025 · Men
20 Jun 2025 · Test
Headingley · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zak Crawleycaught · Karun Nair · Jasprit Bumrah1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Karun Nair · b Jasprit Bumrah | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
 Ben Duckettbowled · Jasprit Bumrah9 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jasprit Bumrah | 62 | 94 | 9 | 0 | 65.96 |
 Ollie Popecaught · Rishabh Pant · Prasidh Krishna14 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rishabh Pant · b Prasidh Krishna | 106 | 137 | 14 | 0 | 77.37 |
| caught · Karun Nair · b Jasprit Bumrah |
| 28 |
| 58 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 48.28 |
 Harry Brookcaught · Shardul Thakur · Prasidh Krishna11 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Shardul Thakur · b Prasidh Krishna | 99 | 112 | 11 | 2 | 88.39 |
|---|
 Ben Stokescaught · Rishabh Pant · Mohammed Siraj3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rishabh Pant · b Mohammed Siraj | 20 | 52 | 3 | 0 | 38.46 |
|---|
 Jamie Smithcaught · Sai Sudharsan · Prasidh Krishna5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sai Sudharsan · b Prasidh Krishna | 40 | 52 | 5 | 1 | 76.92 |
|---|
 Chris Woakesbowled · Jasprit Bumrah3 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Jasprit Bumrah | 38 | 55 | 3 | 2 | 69.09 |
|---|
 Brydon Carsebowled · Mohammed Siraj4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mohammed Siraj | 22 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 95.65 |
|---|
| Josh Tonguebowled · Jasprit Bumrah 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jasprit Bumrah | 11 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 61.11 |
|---|
| Shoaib Bashirnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 8 · legbyes: 18 · wides: 1 · noballs: 7 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jasprit Bumrah5 maidens · 0 wides · 4 no-balls | 24.4 | 5 | 83 | 5 | 3.36 | 0 | 4 |
 Mohammed Siraj0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 27.0 | 0 | 122 | 2 | 4.52 | 0 | 1 |
| Prasidh Krishna0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 20.0 | 0 | 128 | 3 | 6.40 | 1 | 0 |
 Ravindra Jadeja4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 23.0 | 4 | 68 | 0 | 2.96 | 0 | 0 |
| Shardul Thakur0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 6.33 | 0 | 2 |
1-4 (Zak Crawley, 1.0) · 2-126 (Ben Duckett, 28.3) · 3-206 (Joe Root, 46.3) · 4-225 (Ollie Pope, 51.1) · 5-276 (Ben Stokes, 64.5) · 6-349 (Jamie Smith, 79.3) · 7-398 (Harry Brook, 87.3) · 8-453 (Brydon Carse, 94.5) · 9-460 (Chris Woakes, 98.5) · 10-465 (Josh Tongue, 100.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 9 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 14/1 |
| 4 | 10 | 24/1 |
| 5 | 11 | 35/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 39/1 |
| 7 | 0 | 39/1 |
| 8 | 2 | 41/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 47/1 |
| 10 | 7 | 54/1 |
| 11 | 2 | 56/1 |
| 12 | 9 | 65/1 |
| 13 | 2 | 67/1 |
| 14 | 4 | 71/1 |
| 15 | 1 | 72/1 |
| 16 | 10 | 82/1 |
| 17 | 4 | 86/1 |
| 18 | 3 | 89/1 |
| 19 | 2 | 91/1 |
| 20 | 5 | 96/1 |
| 21 | 3 | 99/1 |
| 22 | 6 | 105/1 |
| 23 | 2 | 107/1 |
| 24 | 0 | 107/1 |
| 25 | 6 | 113/1 |
| 26 | 1 | 114/1 |
| 27 | 3 | 117/1 |
| 28 | 4 | 121/1 |
| 29 | 5 | 126/2 |
| 30 | 1 | 127/2 |
| 31 | 2 | 129/2 |
| 32 | 4 | 133/2 |
| 33 | 4 | 137/2 |
| 34 | 1 | 138/2 |
| 35 | 3 | 141/2 |
| 36 | 2 | 143/2 |
| 37 | 4 | 147/2 |
| 38 | 5 | 152/2 |
| 39 | 5 | 157/2 |
| 40 | 8 | 165/2 |
| 41 | 7 | 172/2 |
| 42 | 9 | 181/2 |
| 43 | 5 | 186/2 |
| 44 | 2 | 188/2 |
| 45 | 12 | 200/2 |
| 46 | 4 | 204/2 |
| 47 | 2 | 206/3 |
| 48 | 0 | 206/3 |
| 49 | 3 | 209/3 |
| 50 | 11 | 220/3 |
| 51 | 5 | 225/3 |
| 52 | 2 | 227/4 |
| 53 | 5 | 232/4 |
| 54 | 5 | 237/4 |
| 55 | 1 | 238/4 |
| 56 | 6 | 244/4 |
| 57 | 0 | 244/4 |
| 58 | 2 | 246/4 |
| 59 | 6 | 252/4 |
| 60 | 3 | 255/4 |
| 61 | 4 | 259/4 |
| 62 | 5 | 264/4 |
| 63 | 4 | 268/4 |
| 64 | 3 | 271/4 |
| 65 | 5 | 276/5 |
| 66 | 2 | 278/5 |
| 67 | 4 | 282/5 |
| 68 | 4 | 286/5 |
| 69 | 7 | 293/5 |
| 70 | 1 | 294/5 |
| 71 | 6 | 300/5 |
| 72 | 5 | 305/5 |
| 73 | 2 | 307/5 |
| 74 | 3 | 310/5 |
| 75 | 6 | 316/5 |
| 76 | 3 | 319/5 |
| 77 | 8 | 327/5 |
| 78 | 8 | 335/5 |
| 79 | 8 | 343/5 |
| 80 | 7 | 350/6 |
| 81 | 0 | 350/6 |
| 82 | 2 | 352/6 |
| 83 | 4 | 356/6 |
| 84 | 11 | 367/6 |
| 85 | 3 | 370/6 |
| 86 | 18 | 388/6 |
| 87 | 8 | 396/6 |
| 88 | 7 | 403/7 |
| 89 | 2 | 405/7 |
| 90 | 11 | 416/7 |
| 91 | 11 | 427/7 |
| 92 | 14 | 441/7 |
| 93 | 6 | 447/7 |
| 94 | 1 | 448/7 |
| 95 | 5 | 453/8 |
| 96 | 0 | 453/8 |
| 97 | 2 | 455/8 |
| 98 | 0 | 455/8 |
| 99 | 5 | 460/9 |
| 100 | 4 | 464/9 |
| 101 | 1 | 465/10 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Brydon Carse: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Karun Nair: User:Vishu@2008 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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