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India tour of England · 2025 · Men
20 Jun 2025 · Test
Headingley · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zak Crawleycaught · KL Rahul · Prasidh Krishna7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · KL Rahul · b Prasidh Krishna | 65 | 126 | 7 | 0 | 51.59 |
 Ben Duckettcaught · Nithish Kumar Reddy · Shardul Thakur21 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Nithish Kumar Reddy · b Shardul Thakur | 149 | 170 | 21 | 1 | 87.65 |
 Ollie Popebowled · Prasidh Krishna2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Prasidh Krishna | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| not out |
| 53* |
| 84 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 63.10 |
 Harry Brookcaught · Rishabh Pant · Shardul Thakur0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rishabh Pant · b Shardul Thakur | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Ben Stokescaught · Shubman Gill · Ravindra Jadeja4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shubman Gill · b Ravindra Jadeja | 33 | 51 | 4 | 0 | 64.71 |
|---|
 Jamie Smithnot out4 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 44* | 55 | 4 | 2 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 12 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 0 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jasprit Bumrah3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 19.0 | 3 | 57 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Mohammed Siraj1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 14.0 | 1 | 51 | 0 | 3.64 | 0 | 1 |
 Ravindra Jadeja1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 24.0 | 1 | 104 | 1 | 4.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Prasidh Krishna0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 15.0 | 0 | 92 | 2 | 6.13 | 0 | 1 |
| Shardul Thakur0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 51 | 2 | 5.10 | 0 | 1 |
1-188 (Zak Crawley, 42.2) · 2-206 (Ollie Pope, 44.4) · 3-253 (Ben Duckett, 54.3) · 4-253 (Harry Brook, 54.4) · 5-302 (Ben Stokes, 67.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 3/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 4/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 13/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 18/0 |
| 6 | 3 | 21/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 25/0 |
| 8 | 2 | 27/0 |
| 9 | 0 | 27/0 |
| 10 | 4 | 31/0 |
| 11 | 4 | 35/0 |
| 12 | 1 | 36/0 |
| 13 | 0 | 36/0 |
| 14 | 5 | 41/0 |
| 15 | 5 | 46/0 |
| 16 | 2 | 48/0 |
| 17 | 8 | 56/0 |
| 18 | 7 | 63/0 |
| 19 | 5 | 68/0 |
| 20 | 4 | 72/0 |
| 21 | 9 | 81/0 |
| 22 | 6 | 87/0 |
| 23 | 5 | 92/0 |
| 24 | 4 | 96/0 |
| 25 | 10 | 106/0 |
| 26 | 1 | 107/0 |
| 27 | 1 | 108/0 |
| 28 | 1 | 109/0 |
| 29 | 7 | 116/0 |
| 30 | 1 | 117/0 |
| 31 | 2 | 119/0 |
| 32 | 1 | 120/0 |
| 33 | 6 | 126/0 |
| 34 | 3 | 129/0 |
| 35 | 9 | 138/0 |
| 36 | 12 | 150/0 |
| 37 | 6 | 156/0 |
| 38 | 9 | 165/0 |
| 39 | 3 | 168/0 |
| 40 | 9 | 177/0 |
| 41 | 4 | 181/0 |
| 42 | 3 | 184/0 |
| 43 | 8 | 192/1 |
| 44 | 9 | 201/1 |
| 45 | 10 | 211/2 |
| 46 | 2 | 213/2 |
| 47 | 2 | 215/2 |
| 48 | 9 | 224/2 |
| 49 | 4 | 228/2 |
| 50 | 1 | 229/2 |
| 51 | 9 | 238/2 |
| 52 | 8 | 246/2 |
| 53 | 2 | 248/2 |
| 54 | 5 | 253/2 |
| 55 | 3 | 256/4 |
| 56 | 3 | 259/4 |
| 57 | 4 | 263/4 |
| 58 | 3 | 266/4 |
| 59 | 7 | 273/4 |
| 60 | 2 | 275/4 |
| 61 | 0 | 275/4 |
| 62 | 8 | 283/4 |
| 63 | 1 | 284/4 |
| 64 | 1 | 285/4 |
| 65 | 1 | 286/4 |
| 66 | 5 | 291/4 |
| 67 | 9 | 300/4 |
| 68 | 2 | 302/5 |
| 69 | 4 | 306/5 |
| 70 | 2 | 308/5 |
| 71 | 4 | 312/5 |
| 72 | 1 | 313/5 |
| 73 | 6 | 319/5 |
| 74 | 5 | 324/5 |
| 75 | 4 | 328/5 |
| 76 | 5 | 333/5 |
| 77 | 8 | 341/5 |
| 78 | 0 | 341/5 |
| 79 | 7 | 348/5 |
| 80 | 1 | 349/5 |
| 81 | 6 | 355/5 |
| 82 | 18 | 373/5 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Brydon Carse: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Karun Nair: User:Vishu@2008 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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