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India tour of England · 2025 · Men
20 Jun 2025 · Test
Headingley · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yashasvi Jaiswalcaught · Jamie Smith · Brydon Carse1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Brydon Carse | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 36.36 |
 KL Rahulbowled · Brydon Carse18 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Brydon Carse | 137 | 247 | 18 | 0 | 55.47 |
| Sai Sudharsancaught · Zak Crawley · Ben Stokes 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zak Crawley · b Ben Stokes | 30 | 48 | 4 | 0 | 62.50 |
 |
| bowled · b Brydon Carse |
| 8 |
| 16 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
 Rishabh Pantcaught · Zak Crawley · Shoaib Bashir15 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Zak Crawley · b Shoaib Bashir | 118 | 140 | 15 | 3 | 84.29 |
|---|
 Karun Naircaught and bowled · Chris Woakes3 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Chris Woakes | 20 | 54 | 3 | 0 | 37.04 |
|---|
 Ravindra Jadejanot out2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 25* | 40 | 2 | 1 | 62.50 |
|---|
| Shardul Thakurcaught · Joe Root · Josh Tongue 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joe Root · b Josh Tongue | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Mohammed Sirajcaught · Jamie Smith · Josh Tongue0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Josh Tongue | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Jasprit Bumrahbowled · Josh Tongue0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Josh Tongue | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Prasidh Krishnacaught · Josh Tongue · Shoaib Bashir 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh Tongue · b Shoaib Bashir | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 3 · noballs: 6 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chris Woakes4 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 19.0 | 4 | 45 | 1 | 2.37 | 0 | 1 |
 Brydon Carse2 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 19.0 | 2 | 80 | 3 | 4.21 | 1 | 2 |
| Josh Tongue2 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 18.0 | 2 | 72 | 3 | 4.00 | 2 | 1 |
| Shoaib Bashir1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 22.0 | 1 | 90 | 2 | 4.09 | 0 | 0 |
 Ben Stokes2 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 15.0 | 2 | 47 | 1 | 3.13 | 0 | 2 |
 Joe Root0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-16 (Yashasvi Jaiswal, 3.1) · 2-82 (Sai Sudharsan, 20.5) · 3-92 (Shubman Gill, 25.0) · 4-287 (Rishabh Pant, 71.4) · 5-333 (KL Rahul, 84.2) · 6-335 (Karun Nair, 86.0) · 7-349 (Shardul Thakur, 90.1) · 8-349 (Mohammed Siraj, 90.2) · 9-349 (Jasprit Bumrah, 90.4) · 10-364 (Prasidh Krishna, 96.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 16/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 20/1 |
| 5 | 0 | 20/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 21/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 22/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 27/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 33/1 |
| 10 | 12 | 45/1 |
| 11 | 0 | 45/1 |
| 12 | 4 | 49/1 |
| 13 | 8 | 57/1 |
| 14 | 2 | 59/1 |
| 15 | 5 | 64/1 |
| 16 | 1 | 65/1 |
| 17 | 2 | 67/1 |
| 18 | 2 | 69/1 |
| 19 | 1 | 70/1 |
| 20 | 6 | 76/1 |
| 21 | 10 | 86/2 |
| 22 | 0 | 86/2 |
| 23 | 1 | 87/2 |
| 24 | 3 | 90/2 |
| 25 | 2 | 92/3 |
| 26 | 5 | 97/3 |
| 27 | 0 | 97/3 |
| 28 | 1 | 98/3 |
| 29 | 3 | 101/3 |
| 30 | 2 | 103/3 |
| 31 | 0 | 103/3 |
| 32 | 4 | 107/3 |
| 33 | 5 | 112/3 |
| 34 | 0 | 112/3 |
| 35 | 2 | 114/3 |
| 36 | 2 | 116/3 |
| 37 | 2 | 118/3 |
| 38 | 7 | 125/3 |
| 39 | 2 | 127/3 |
| 40 | 2 | 129/3 |
| 41 | 5 | 134/3 |
| 42 | 2 | 136/3 |
| 43 | 2 | 138/3 |
| 44 | 2 | 140/3 |
| 45 | 6 | 146/3 |
| 46 | 2 | 148/3 |
| 47 | 0 | 148/3 |
| 48 | 5 | 153/3 |
| 49 | 0 | 153/3 |
| 50 | 4 | 157/3 |
| 51 | 9 | 166/3 |
| 52 | 2 | 168/3 |
| 53 | 3 | 171/3 |
| 54 | 4 | 175/3 |
| 55 | 4 | 179/3 |
| 56 | 1 | 180/3 |
| 57 | 12 | 192/3 |
| 58 | 14 | 206/3 |
| 59 | 6 | 212/3 |
| 60 | 9 | 221/3 |
| 61 | 4 | 225/3 |
| 62 | 9 | 234/3 |
| 63 | 9 | 243/3 |
| 64 | 6 | 249/3 |
| 65 | 4 | 253/3 |
| 66 | 1 | 254/3 |
| 67 | 4 | 258/3 |
| 68 | 3 | 261/3 |
| 69 | 2 | 263/3 |
| 70 | 3 | 266/3 |
| 71 | 19 | 285/3 |
| 72 | 2 | 287/4 |
| 73 | 5 | 292/4 |
| 74 | 5 | 297/4 |
| 75 | 1 | 298/4 |
| 76 | 1 | 299/4 |
| 77 | 2 | 301/4 |
| 78 | 2 | 303/4 |
| 79 | 5 | 308/4 |
| 80 | 6 | 314/4 |
| 81 | 6 | 320/4 |
| 82 | 1 | 321/4 |
| 83 | 5 | 326/4 |
| 84 | 5 | 331/4 |
| 85 | 3 | 334/5 |
| 86 | 1 | 335/6 |
| 87 | 5 | 340/6 |
| 88 | 4 | 344/6 |
| 89 | 5 | 349/6 |
| 90 | 0 | 349/6 |
| 91 | 0 | 349/9 |
| 92 | 1 | 350/9 |
| 93 | 1 | 351/9 |
| 94 | 1 | 352/9 |
| 95 | 11 | 363/9 |
| 96 | 1 | 364/10 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Brydon Carse: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Karun Nair: User:Vishu@2008 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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