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Photo: Kieran Connellan from Hamilton, New Zealand
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; display framing may vary.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
England tour of New Zealand · 2024/25 · Men
14 Dec 2024 · Test
Seddon Park, Hamilton · Venue photographRecorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zak Crawleycaught and bowled · Matt Henry5 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Matt Henry | 21 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 150.00 |
 Ben Duckettlbw · Matt Henry1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Matt Henry | 11 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 84.62 |
| Jacob Bethellcaught · Glenn Phillips · William O’Rourke 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Glenn Phillips · b William O’Rourke | 12 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 36.36 |
 |
| caught · Will Young · b William O’Rourke |
| 32 |
| 42 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 76.19 |
 Harry Brookbowled · William O’Rourke0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b William O’Rourke | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Ollie Popecaught · Daryl Mitchell · Mitchell Santner5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Daryl Mitchell · b Mitchell Santner | 24 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
 Ben Stokeslbw · Mitchell Santner5 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mitchell Santner | 27 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 62.79 |
|---|
| Gus Atkinsoncaught · Mitchell Santner · Matt Henry 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mitchell Santner · b Matt Henry | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
|---|
 Brydon Carsecaught and bowled · Mitchell Santner0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Mitchell Santner | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
|---|
 Matthew Pottscaught · Glenn Phillips · Matt Henry0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Glenn Phillips · b Matt Henry | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
|---|
| Shoaib Bashirnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Henry1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 13.4 | 1 | 48 | 4 | 3.51 | 0 | 0 |
 Tim Southee2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.0 | 2 | 46 | 0 | 4.18 | 0 | 0 |
 William O’Rourke2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 2 | 33 | 3 | 4.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Mitchell Santner1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 2.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-32 (Zak Crawley, 4.2) · 2-33 (Ben Duckett, 5.0) · 3-77 (Jacob Bethell, 15.5) · 4-77 (Harry Brook, 16.0) · 5-82 (Joe Root, 18.0) · 6-134 (Ollie Pope, 30.5) · 7-137 (Ben Stokes, 32.1) · 8-141 (Gus Atkinson, 33.5) · 9-141 (Brydon Carse, 34.2) · 10-143 (Matthew Potts, 35.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 16 | 21/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 30/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 31/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 33/2 |
| 6 | 0 | 33/2 |
| 7 | 8 | 41/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 45/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 49/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 54/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 59/2 |
| 12 | 0 | 59/2 |
| 13 | 1 | 60/2 |
| 14 | 13 | 73/2 |
| 15 | 0 | 73/2 |
| 16 | 4 | 77/4 |
| 17 | 4 | 81/4 |
| 18 | 1 | 82/5 |
| 19 | 4 | 86/5 |
| 20 | 0 | 86/5 |
| 21 | 5 | 91/5 |
| 22 | 8 | 99/5 |
| 23 | 1 | 100/5 |
| 24 | 4 | 104/5 |
| 25 | 4 | 108/5 |
| 26 | 8 | 116/5 |
| 27 | 4 | 120/5 |
| 28 | 2 | 122/5 |
| 29 | 6 | 128/5 |
| 30 | 1 | 129/5 |
| 31 | 5 | 134/6 |
| 32 | 3 | 137/6 |
| 33 | 0 | 137/7 |
| 34 | 4 | 141/8 |
| 35 | 2 | 143/9 |
| 36 | 0 | 143/10 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Brydon Carse: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Tim Southee: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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