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Photo: Ji-Elle
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
New Zealand tour of Sri Lanka · 2024 · Men
18 Sept 2024 · Test
Galle International Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pathum Nissankacaught · Tim Southee · William O’Rourke 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tim Southee · b William O’Rourke | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
6 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ajaz Patel | 83 | 127 | 6 | 0 | 65.35 |
6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Latham · b William O’Rourke | 61 | 150 | 6 | 0 | 40.67 |
| caught · Daryl Mitchell · b Ajaz Patel |
| 50 |
| 111 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 45.05 |
| Kamindu Mendiscaught · Daryl Mitchell · William O’Rourke 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Daryl Mitchell · b William O’Rourke | 13 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 108.33 |
|---|
| Dhananjaya de Silvastumped · Tom Blundell · Ajaz Patel 4 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Tom Blundell · b Ajaz Patel | 40 | 77 | 4 | 0 | 51.95 |
|---|
| Kusal Mendisbowled · Ajaz Patel 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ajaz Patel | 23 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 76.67 |
|---|
| Ramesh Mendislbw · Ajaz Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ajaz Patel | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 5.56 |
|---|
| Prabath Jayasuriyacaught · William O’Rourke · Mitchell Santner 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · William O’Rourke · b Mitchell Santner | 11 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 45.83 |
|---|
| Lahiru Kumaracaught · Kane Williamson · Ajaz Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kane Williamson · b Ajaz Patel | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Asitha Fernandonot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 11 · legbyes: 8 · wides: 2 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.0 | 2 | 49 | 3 | 2.88 | 2 | 3 | |
| 30.0 | 8 | 90 | 6 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mitchell Santner2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.2 | 2 | 51 | 1 | 3.56 | 0 | 0 |
| 16.0 | 4 | 39 | 0 | 2.44 | 0 | 0 | |
| Glenn Phillips1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 12.0 | 1 | 50 | 0 | 4.17 | 0 | 0 |
| 5.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 2.20 | 0 | 1 |
1-6 (Pathum Nissanka, 2.5) · 2-153 (Dimuth Karunaratne, 47.1) · 3-153 (Dinesh Chandimal, 48.2) · 4-178 (Kamindu Mendis, 52.3) · 5-250 (Dhananjaya de Silva, 75.4) · 6-286 (Kusal Mendis, 83.4) · 7-292 (Angelo Mathews, 87.3) · 8-301 (Ramesh Mendis, 91.1) · 9-301 (Lahiru Kumara, 91.5) · 10-309 (Prabath Jayasuriya, 94.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 6/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 17/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 21/1 |
| 6 | 0 | 21/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 28/1 |
| 8 | 1 | 29/1 |
| 9 | 3 | 32/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 34/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 38/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 40/1 |
| 13 | 2 | 42/1 |
| 14 | 2 | 44/1 |
| 15 | 0 | 44/1 |
| 16 | 5 | 49/1 |
| 17 | 7 | 56/1 |
| 18 | 9 | 65/1 |
| 19 | 0 | 65/1 |
| 20 | 6 | 71/1 |
| 21 | 6 | 77/1 |
| 22 | 3 | 80/1 |
| 23 | 4 | 84/1 |
| 24 | 2 | 86/1 |
| 25 | 4 | 90/1 |
| 26 | 2 | 92/1 |
| 27 | 1 | 93/1 |
| 28 | 7 | 100/1 |
| 29 | 4 | 104/1 |
| 30 | 3 | 107/1 |
| 31 | 0 | 107/1 |
| 32 | 3 | 110/1 |
| 33 | 1 | 111/1 |
| 34 | 9 | 120/1 |
| 35 | 4 | 124/1 |
| 36 | 5 | 129/1 |
| 37 | 1 | 130/1 |
| 38 | 2 | 132/1 |
| 39 | 1 | 133/1 |
| 40 | 1 | 134/1 |
| 41 | 4 | 138/1 |
| 42 | 1 | 139/1 |
| 43 | 4 | 143/1 |
| 44 | 3 | 146/1 |
| 45 | 1 | 147/1 |
| 46 | 5 | 152/1 |
| 47 | 1 | 153/1 |
| 48 | 0 | 153/2 |
| 49 | 2 | 155/3 |
| 50 | 5 | 160/3 |
| 51 | 4 | 164/3 |
| 52 | 5 | 169/3 |
| 53 | 9 | 178/4 |
| 54 | 0 | 178/4 |
| 55 | 6 | 184/4 |
| 56 | 1 | 185/4 |
| 57 | 1 | 186/4 |
| 58 | 3 | 189/4 |
| 59 | 2 | 191/4 |
| 60 | 4 | 195/4 |
| 61 | 1 | 196/4 |
| 62 | 5 | 201/4 |
| 63 | 6 | 207/4 |
| 64 | 12 | 219/4 |
| 65 | 0 | 219/4 |
| 66 | 1 | 220/4 |
| 67 | 6 | 226/4 |
| 68 | 0 | 226/4 |
| 69 | 0 | 226/4 |
| 70 | 2 | 228/4 |
| 71 | 7 | 235/4 |
| 72 | 2 | 237/4 |
| 73 | 3 | 240/4 |
| 74 | 3 | 243/4 |
| 75 | 5 | 248/4 |
| 76 | 2 | 250/5 |
| 77 | 6 | 256/5 |
| 78 | 5 | 261/5 |
| 79 | 6 | 267/5 |
| 80 | 9 | 276/5 |
| 81 | 2 | 278/5 |
| 82 | 3 | 281/5 |
| 83 | 5 | 286/5 |
| 84 | 0 | 286/6 |
| 85 | 2 | 288/6 |
| 86 | 0 | 288/6 |
| 87 | 4 | 292/6 |
| 88 | 1 | 293/7 |
| 89 | 1 | 294/7 |
| 90 | 5 | 299/7 |
| 91 | 2 | 301/7 |
| 92 | 0 | 301/9 |
| 93 | 8 | 309/9 |
| 94 | 0 | 309/9 |
| 95 | 0 | 309/10 |
Angelo Mathews: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Ajaz Patel: Dave Morton · Public domain
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dinesh Chandimal: Amal316 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Tim Southee: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dimuth Karunaratne: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.